So where are all the undecideds/others coming from?

[TruthIsAll]

In January 6.5% were undecided; in Aug. 6.1%

From Bush, that's who.
Then they go to Kerry.

And more Bush supporters become undecided.
Then they go to Kerry.

And more Bush supporters become undecided.
Then they go to Kerry.

and on...and on... and on...

Until at some point, there will be no more undecideds.
And guess where they will have gone?



NATIONAL POLLS:  MONTHLY TREND / PROJECTION								
Data source: PollingReport.com    							
								
Based on average of 11-poll group:							
IBD, ABC, NWK, ARG, CBS, PEW, LAT, ZOGBY, TIME,DEMCORP, QPAC		

Kerry is at an ALL-TIME HIGH of 49.89%						
Bush is at an ALL-TIME LOW of 44.00%														
Curr. Kerry is equal to Kerry/(Kerry+Bush).					
Proj. Kerry is equal to Kerry plus 60% of undecided/other.			
								
National Trend Avg-----------------Curr. Curr.	Proj.	Proj.
2004	Kerry	Bush 	Other	Diff	Kerry	Prob.	Kerry	Prob.
Jan 	44.8	48.7	6.5	-3.8	48.0	11.5	48.7	22.9
Feb	48.7	45.3	6.0	3.3	51.8	85.1	52.3	90.8
Mar	48.1	44.6	7.3	3.6	51.9	86.9	52.5	92.9
Apr	47.1	45.1	7.8	2.0	51.1	73.7	51.8	85.1
May	47.6	44.4	8.0	3.2	51.7	84.6	52.4	92.0
June	47.4	45.1	7.5	2.3	51.2	76.2	51.9	86.4
July	48.2	44.9	6.9	3.3	51.8	84.8	52.3	91.4

Aug	49.89	44.00	6.11	5.89	53.14	96.69	53.56	98.14

[iconoclastic cat]

1. TIA, I hope you are correct.

I do look forward to your posts, but I wonder if I am simply a incorrigible idealist.

[olddem43]

2. I love it when you post this stuff!

Sure hope it turns out the way it's going.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

3. New undecideds

Undecideds are coming from:

Newly Registered voters

People who didn't vote last time around