Puerto Rico Poll: Clinton 51 percent, Obama 38

[Hope And Change]

Puerto Rico Poll: Clinton 51 percent, Obama 38


By Al Giordano



A new poll published by the daily http://www.vocero.com/noticias.asp?s=Locales&n=113365">El Vocero

in Puerto Rico, which holds its primary on Sunday, is out. For those that can’t read Spanish, here is the result:

Clinton: 51 percent
Obama: 38 percent

If Obama maintains that floor of 38 percent, he’ll get at least 24 of the 55 pledged delegates out of the island, which is more than sufficient to keep him on target for clinching the nomination next week.

Also of interest: A full fifty percent of those surveyed have no intent to vote in Sunday’s primary, hinting that it could be a low-turnout event. (If those that did answer the poll that say they are undecided don’t vote, the final percentage would be Clinton 57, Obama 43.)

Posted on May 28th, 2008 by Al Giordano
Filed under: http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?cat=49">Countdown to Denver

http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?p=1277">Link

[anonymous171]

1. I can't wait for Hillary to start on how PR is a "must win" for Democrats in the fall.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

4. LOL!

[barb162]

18. Good for Hillary! Every vote matters, right? n/t

[Starbucks Anarchist]

27. Hillary: "It will be over by February 5th."

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4636361

[Hola]

20. :)

Well, Hillary has promised them votes for the Presidential elections.

[jefferson_dem]

23. She'll say: "No Republican has ever won PR and won the presidency..."

"Let's not let it happen this time..."

:eyes:

[PBS Poll-435]

2. Good.

It will offset any potential gain in MT/SD.

[Blondbostonian]

8. You live in a dream world where the popular vote matters after 90% of the process is over

Newsflash: It doesn't. Neither campaign worked on getting out "Votes" in certain states and hillary's math doesn't include the caucuses or any votes in Michigan.

In other words, it's moronic math for people with little critical thinking skills.

[thewiseguy]

11. Actually if there is a low turnout in Puerto Rico her gain in popular vote will be minimal

This poll means bad news for Hillary. At this point she is concerned about the popular vote.

[PBS Poll-435]

25. I was actually referring to gains via delegates....

A 15-20% win in PR will award her a larger share of the 55 delegates, right?


But keep saying things like:

Dreamworld
Newsflash
Moronic
People with little critical thinking skills...


Nice and civil, right?




Edited to add a question mark
:rofl:

[tekisui]

29. Any gains she makes this weekend, including the potential

scenarios of seating FL/MI, she will still be over 180-200 delegates from reaching the nomination. With 197 Superdelegates remaining undeclared.

[Joe the Revelator]

44. Want to talk about a "dream world" and a "newsflash" I have one for you---

Its too late to care about delegates. Obama has set that ship a sail.

[Max_powers94]

3. I have a feeling he might break 40%

[AtomicKitten]

5. That's it? Jeez, she promised Puerto Ricans voting rights (and a pony!).

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/05/25/clinton-pledges-voting-ri_n_103463.html

[SeaLyons]

6. Good for Hillary

[OzarkDem]

9. Not so good for Obama

He can't seem to make any inroads in gaining the Hispanic vote.

[Blondbostonian]

10. He will have plenty of time to work on that in the GE

Hillary will be back in the Senate and you will be in the fetal position.

[SeaLyons]

12. Nope.....

just don't know what to make of a front runner that keeps losing by such wide margins....LOL

[thewiseguy]

13. Every candidate has his strengths

McCain lost to Huckabee big time in kansas eventhough Huckabee was far far behind.

[Drunken Irishman]

15. I know, it's horrible.

How will he ever win the GE without PR?

The horrors!

Hold me, cricket! We're doooooooooooomed without PR. :(

[OzarkDem]

30. Hispanic voters are an important part of the Dem base

If Obama is going to write off most of the women, hispanics and blue collar voters, who else is left?

[mrreowwr_kittty]

33. He hasn't written them off.

They might write him off, and do so at their peril. All I know is if they do, they better not complain about why things aren't getting better with President McCain.

I'm done coddling morons. Done.

[jbnow]

36. About the women and blue collar voters....

TA survey earlier this month

Differential against McCain

Text

Obama does 5% better with Republicans, 11% better with Independents but 7% worse with our own party

Text

Text

Text

Text

Text

[jbnow]

39. About the women and blue collar voters....

TA survey earlier this month

Differential against McCain

Total Rep Dems Ind<
Clinton +5 -82 +69 tie
Obama +7 -77 +62 +11

Obama does 5% better with Republicans, 11% better with Independents but 7% worse with our own party
The problem wasn't the voters Clinton spoke of, the white working class. In case the group she specified, no college, they both lose to McCain by 7. Here is their differential to McCain with the subgroups of
white working class

Text

Text

Text

Text

[Jersey Devil]

24. If you are a Democrat, why is that funny to you?

Maybe your act would be funnier at Hillaryis44

[SeaLyons]

37. you are kidding, right???

you're going to question my party affiliation? What's the matter?? LOL's are not allowed on Obamaland??? Right!!

:freak:

[Kittycat]

35. Yeah - it was sad seeing Hillary lose 17 contests by 40-75%

[cali]

45. his losses are nothing compared to hillypoo losing 11 in a row in

blowouts. He's won more primaries and caucuses than your goddess of war.

[ErinBerin84]

7. wow

That's actually...not as bad as I thought it would be. I think she'll probably win by more, unfortunately (not that it will make much of a difference).

[LaReservaPr]

14. I do think

I do think that it will be a low-turnout. It has been too long since a democratic primary held any importance in PR and up to a few weeks ago people were confused about how it would all happen. First we were told that it would be a Caucus then a primary and we didn't know where the funds would come from. It was kind of sloppy at first and that will have a noticeable effect on voter turnout.

[GoesTo11]

28. This primary doesn't hold any importance.

The election is decided. Hillary said after Super Tuesday that Obama would do better over the next few and she'd make it up in her firewall on March 5. Then Obama won 11 in a row, and Hillary came back and gained a mere 4 delegates on March 5. Since then, everything has gone about as expected and it hasn't made a difference. This is just mop-up time.

[NightWatcher]

16. he needs 45, if he gets 24, that'll leave 21. And there are rumors of 35 SD's ready to flip

my figurin skills arent too good, but that makes me smile

[baldguy]

17. Anything less that 100% for Hillary is a loss.

She's got to win all the remaining primaries & steal at least 10 other delegates from Obama to win the nomination.

[Cha]

19. Wonder why those aren't

voting?

[thewiseguy]

21. Because they dont get to vote in GE anyway

Thats a turnoff IMO.

[Cha]

31. Yeah, it's kinda weird getting to

vote in the Primaries but not in the General.

[my3boyz]

22. Probably because they know it is over. nt

[malik flavors]

26. Looks like a pretty positive poll for Obama considering what we've heard about Puerto Rico.

Low turnout would be a suprise.

[canadian_is_cold]

32. Sorry to quote Cheney.... But.... SO?.... n/t

[madrchsod]

34. they can`t vote for the president....

so why in the hell are these people given a say?

join the usa or become an independent country.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

41. They Are Subject To The Draft And Serving In Iraq & Afghanistan Now

If they are subject to the effects of American policy they should have some say in it...

[madrchsod]

43. agreed but join the union....

[mystieus]

38. I don't think Obama should let that popular vote get out of hand... he has the delegates regardless

[DemocratSinceBirth]

40. I Could Care Less About The Primaries But I Resent The Gratuitous Shots At Puerto Ricans

Puerto Rico, the Philippines, and Cuba were all the spoils of the Spanish-American War...If we are going to treat them as a colony we should think about granting them independence like we did Cuba and the Philippines...

[ieoeja]

42. If they vote for independance, we will probably give them independance.

They prefer the current condition with US citizenship, but free to run their own country.

[aaaaaa5a]

46. Is Puerto Rico a swing state?

Or better yet, how many electoral votes does this territory have. You know electoral college votes are the most important "METRIC" in the Democratic race!