Rasmussen: PA Clinton 50% McCain 39%

[DemGa]

Pennsylvania: Clinton 50% McCain 39%; Obama 45% McCain 43%.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2

[CaptJasHook]

1. Primaries: Dems still in... Rethuglicans out for weeks now. Thanks to Hillary.

[NJSecularist]

Our "presumptive nominee" is breaking even in Pennsylvania and losing in FL and OH

Meanwhile, Hillary leads decisively in all three states.

Only when Obama loses all 3 states this Fall will his cult realize that he was unelectable.

[Drunken Irishman]

12. I see you're changing your tone already, I like it!

Just a week ago you said he had no chance in PA or Ohio and now he's leading in both.

Oh sure, you'll come back and say "he's not winning by as much as Clinton!" and then I'll respond and say "true, but Clinton isn't winning by as much as Obama in some other key states" and you'll reply "it doesn't matter, because I don't listen to facts and even though I'm proven wrong time and time again, I keep throwing out bullshit excuses" and I'll just respond with a grin.

:)

[NJSecularist]

13. What other key states?

The most important 3 states in the election, bar none, are Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio.

[Drunken Irishman]

16. Yes, because we know those 3 states are the only ones that matter!

She's barely ahead of McCain in Washington, which if the Dems lose, will seriously fuck their chances in November.

It's all good, though, because now you even admit Obama has a 50-50 shot at PA and a better than 50% shot at Ohio (leading by almost 10-points). That's pretty amazing, since, you know, you were convinced last week he had 0% shot of winning either state.

[NJSecularist]

19. Obama is not leading in Ohio. I have no idea what you are talking about.

Both Democrats will carry Washington. It's a reliable Democratic state.

What other key states are there other than Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania?

[yodermon]

27. HUH? Ohio: Obama 48, McCain 39

Survey USA, 05/16/2008 - 05/18/2008

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b03c08ab-30b9-463d-8be2-5cb118e05b74

[NJSecularist]

39. The partisan breakdown in that poll makes it bogus. n/t

[Drunken Irishman]

28. haha, of course you don't. You ignore polls that don't favor Clinton.

And it's because you're out of touch. You sit there and lie for the past month telling us Obama has NO chance of winning PA and Ohio, yet now he leads in BOTH states and you're grasping at an even more laughable argument.

As for Washington being reliable, that makes her slim lead there even more striking, eh?

Oh and here's that Ohio poll:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b03c08ab-30b9-463d-8be2-5cb118e05b74

Obama by 9.

This PA poll also gives Obama an 8 point lead.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=162d4baa-59af-4ec5-9d9b-eb6e658e86c5

And he leads by 7 in Virginia.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9901f8fc-034e-4a1d-ab36-f6e5c918614e

Doing the math, which I know you'll ignore, here's how the EC would shape out for Obama if these polls hold true:

Obama would win the EC 336 to 202. Doesn't sound like McGovern, eh?

[Snarkoleptic]

23. If Hillary were a team player (which is a huuuuge stretch)

She'd campaign for Obama rather than work angles to promote her own career.
She can't win the Dem nomination but feels compelled to torpedo Obama.
She's smoked Richard Mellon Scaife's pole.
She and her surrogates have appeared on Faux news to promote their "fair and balanced" horseshit.
She's made campaign ads for McSame by saying the only she and the aged repuke candidate have the requisite experience.
She cannot and will not win and yet she feels compelled to shit on Obama.
Fu@& Hillary...she's Nader and even worse, because she lacks principals.

[Douglas Carpenter]

30. 'Rasmussen Markets data gives Sen. Obama a 62.9% chance of winning in November"

"The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.9% chance of winning in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

__________________________

Average National Polls:

Obama 47.8/McCain 43.1 = Obama + 4.7

Clinton 46.0/McCain 44.5 = Clinton = 1.5

The general election polls averages the latest polls from Gallup Tracking, Rasmussen Tracking, Quinnipiac,ABC News/Wash Post, Democracy Corp, LA Times/Bloomberg, IDBB/TIPP, Battleground

links:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_clinton-224.html

Gallup: Key Clinton voters are shifting to Obama



----------------

"The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.9% chance of winning in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[anonymous171]

2. As long as they are polling Hillary, why not poll for Perez Hilton too.

[NJSecularist]

4. Hillary has 1800 delegates. Hilton has 0 delegates.

I don't see the comparison.

[anonymous171]

5. Remember delegates can switch at the convention.

HILTON STILL HAS A CHANCE!

[doublethink]

9. ......

LOL !! Good one.

[Pisces]

3. Fuck your polls and fuck Hillary. She is dead to the Democratic party.

[NJSecularist]

6. Yea! Fuck the polls! Who cares about who wins the most important swing states in November!

:crazy: :crazy: :crazy:

[Bicoastal]

17. I thought the proportional delegation wasn't important, and all that mattered was the popular vote!

So as soon as Hillary wins the primary (scoff) we won't care who gets the popular voter, because it's all about key states? States like Virginia, South Carolina, Missouri, and Iowa that Hillary couldn't even be bothered to win?

Obama won OUR map. Hillary lost. Get over it.

[5thGenDemocrat]

25. Hey Sporto -- Obama's BEATING McCain in Pennsylvania

And he'll be beating him worse once Lucretia Rodham Borgia gets off the stage and the party gets united behind a DECENT candidate.
John
Two points or twenty -- the Presidential race is still decided by the Electoral College and the winner takes all.

[StevieM]

8. Wow, you speak for the entire Democratic Party? Did Harry Reid hire you? (eom)

[emilyg]

21. Educated O supporter?

[DemGa]

40. Wow - nt

[Hutzpa]

7. This does not change any fuckin thing

sick and tired of these spin polls.

[Spider Jerusalem]

10. Clinton still won't be the nominee; her inclusion in these polls is nonsensical.

They might as well poll how John Edwards does against McCain, because at this point that's just as relevant as how Hillary does against McCain.

[Gore1FL]

11. I am guessing this poll was taken before today's comments.

see also Thomas Becket.

[MadBadger]

14. Of course shes up big. Nobody is attacking her.

She's running against herself right now while Obama and McCain are running against each other.

[SoCalDem]

15. PA is irrelevant.. They can join in or not.. it;s totally their call

same for OH & FL and maybe even MI (although MI will be for Obama)

[Zynx]

18. How do you figure Georgia, NC, LA, and MO?

[NJSecularist]

20. It's just an Obamacult pipe dream.

Obama is winning none of those states.

[5thGenDemocrat]

26. Well, History Clinton isn't going to win them, either

Because she's through in a very, very few days (maybe just hours) now.
John
The time has come for her to say sayonara.

[jbm]

22. Obama didn't carry any rural counties in Missouri..

He had St Louis, Kansas City, and Columbia. Those areas were enough to barely give him the state during the primary, but it won't be enough for the GE. Missouri will go red.

[5thGenDemocrat]

29. In that case, we write off Missouri

Ain't much we can do about Homer, Jethro and the rest of the mouth-breathers.
John
Harry Truman's dead and he ain't coming back.

[NJSecularist]

38. Hillary will win Missouri. Obama won't.

[SoCalDem]

24. Bob Barr... Ron Paul and some help from John Edwards

Landrieu is polling surprisingly well, and Lousianans are not at all fond of the idea of a BushIII regime..

and MO is do-able..definitely..Mccain is NOT a popular guy..

[Swamp Rat]

35. Nope. We HATE Bushler here in Louisiana.

And a subtantial majority loves Obama.

[Douglas Carpenter]

31. "Rasmussen Markets data gives Sen. Obama a 62.9% chance of winning in November

"The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.9% chance of winning in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

__________________________

Average National Polls:

Obama 47.8/McCain 43.1 = Obama + 4.7

Clinton 46.0/McCain 44.5 = Clinton = 1.5

The general election polls averages the latest polls from Gallup Tracking, Rasmussen Tracking, Quinnipiac,ABC News/Wash Post, Democracy Corp, LA Times/Bloomberg, IDBB/TIPP, Battleground

links:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_clinton-224.html

Gallup: Key Clinton voters are shifting to Obama



----------------

"The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead. Rasmussen Markets data gives Democrats a 62.9% chance of winning in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[Martinovich]

32. Wow! Hillary by 12% while Obama is statistically tied with McCain

good news for Hillary. Looks like we are about to choose a weak candidate in Obama.

God help us.

[Swamp Rat]

33. Next week, Hillary's poll numbers will take a nose dive.

[dana_b]

34. let's see how the polls are after the weekend. n/t

[silverlil]

36. After her comments today

she will be lucky to for run dog chatcher. She is now toast.

[RNdaSilva]

37. Polls in general...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/