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Michigan: What would have happened?

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RL3AO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-23-08 11:00 PM
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Michigan: What would have happened?
Sorry if this was posted already today. Anyway, I'm sure many of you know about fivethirtyeight.com, which is quickly becoming one of my favorite sites. This man named "Pablano" uses demographic info to make his projections, not polls. He recently astonished pollsters by correctly predicting a two point win for Clinton in Indiana.

After receive the request, he decided to break down Michigan and the "what if Obama was on the ballot". Obviously, there were still others on the ballot then, but this only takes into account Obama vs Clinton.


After his analysis, he projects a 52-48 win for Obama and a 65-63 delegate win. Enjoy the read.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/05/michigan-what-would-have-happened.html
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Bicoastal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-23-08 11:10 PM
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1. "Pablano" will only reveal his election predictions...
...shirtless and cradling you, his entranced lover, helpless and half-naked in his muscular arms, running your fingers through his flowing brown hair.




For he...is...Pablano.
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DogPoundPup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-23-08 11:12 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. You're bad....
but 'funny bad :rofl:
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Blondiegrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-23-08 11:40 PM
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3. I'm confident that if it had been a legitimate election with Obama's name on the ticket
the race would have been very close either way, with the odds in Obama's favor.

That's why it infuriates me that she somehow thinks she can legitimately claim the popular vote and 100 percent of the delegates from that state.
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