Average National Polls: Obama 47.5/McCain 43.0 = Obama+4.5///Clinton 45.9/McCain 44.8 = Clinton+1.1

[Douglas Carpenter]

Nominee Contest: Obama 52.0/Clinton 39.0 = Obama + 12.2

The nomination polls are an average of the latest polls from Gallup, Rasmussen, Quinnipiac, and ABC News/Wash Post and Reuters/Zogby

link:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html

----------

Real Clear Politics NATIONAL Average: Obama 47.5/McCain 43.0 = Obama +4.5
Clinton 45.9/McCain 44.8 = Clinton = 1.1

The general election polls averages the latest polls from Gallup Tracking, Rasmussen Tracking, Quinnipiac,ABC News/Wash Post, Democracy Corp, LA Times/Bloomberg, IDBB/TIPP, Battleground

links:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_clinton-224.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

-------------------------------------------------------------


Gallup: Key Clinton voters are shifting to Obama

[Cali_Democrat]

1. Obama leads Clinton among women 46%-49%

I guess not all women think Obama is terribly sexist.

[goclark]

24. Sock it to um Obama!

[FredScuttle]

2. "OH.....SNAP!"

"Time to un-pimp ze campaign, ya?"

[Name removed]

3. Deleted sub-thread

Sub-thread removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[FredScuttle]

4. That's a damn shame that was deleted

that was some funny shit.

[Scooter24]

5. Oh but I did get a screen cap...

I can't believe someone was that careless.

[FredScuttle]

6. Yeah, I've never seen that before

remind me never to alert on someone

:yoiks:

[Occam Bandage]

8. PM? I hate missing out on parties.

[FredScuttle]

9. Done

n/t

[JVS]

22. Can I get a PM too? I'd love to know what happened!

[FredScuttle]

26. Done

n/t

[FredScuttle]

10. I forgot to ask

could you PM it to me? Thanks!

[SlipperySlope]

12. What did I miss?

[Occam Bandage]

7. Of course. He's most electable. As the diehards get over their tantrums,

things will get better still.

[Douglas Carpenter]

16. of course they know...they are just ...

[Douglas Carpenter]

11. perhaps some more recommends, please?

[Douglas Carpenter]

13. one kikle

[phrigndumass]

14. I like the last graph ... it's good to see folks finally coming around

K/R

:hi:

[Douglas Carpenter]

15. one kikc for the morning shift

[suston96]

17. These are the polls that really count.........

I hate to keep repeating this but it is instructive......

http://www.electoral-vote.com /

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Obama/Maps/May23.html

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Clinton/Maps/May23.html

[Douglas Carpenter]

18. another kik

[Douglas Carpenter]

19. Rasmussen Markets data gives Sen. Obama a 62.9% chance of winning in November (

(results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants).

"The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead."

"Rasmussen Reports believes the race is over and that Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. We will stop tracking the Democratic race in the near future to focus exclusively on the Obama-McCain match-up."

link:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[JVS]

20. She's unelectable

[avenger64]

21. Bradley effect - deduct 5 points.

n/t

[Douglas Carpenter]

23. That was 1982 - 26 years ago - And that is no more valid than the Oregon effect:

A number of polls showed Hillary within 5 points of winning in the Oregon primary.

Final vote in Oregon: Obama 59%/Clinton 41% = Obama + 18

My real faith in why Sen. Obama will most likely win in November has more to do with external realities. Oil prices and food prices are just beginning to soar. As one BBC analyst put it last night, "we should enjoy the cheap gas and cheap food while we still can. Months from now we will all be looking back in wonder how oil could have been only $135 a barrel." That is very, very bad news for the Republicans.

[goclark]

25. K and R , so right

HC can't run her own campaign finances and yet we feel confident that she will help the Economy?!
NOT