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Damn...the polls were ALL wrong in North Carolina

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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 08:32 PM
Original message
Damn...the polls were ALL wrong in North Carolina
I predicted at least a 15% win for Obama in NC and it looks like that's going to happen. I knew she wouldn't come close here...but the polls SERIOUSLY underestimated Obama in this state. Especially the ones showing her beating him. She never had a real shot here anyway.
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ChimpersMcSmirkers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 08:39 PM
Response to Original message
1. Zogby had him at 14%, which looks pretty close
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. All the Clinton supporters were laughing at Zogby. Seems like he was the most right
What was SUSA saying?
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PBS Poll-435 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-07-08 12:27 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. Same thing ZOGBY was saying in Indiana
Can I haz a clue?
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Va Lefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
2. How is it even possible to conduct a valid poll anymore?
What with so many people screening their calls and pervasive use of cell phones how can you get a representative cross section of people?
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 08:48 PM
Response to Original message
4. Minorities are always under-represented in polls
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David Zephyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 08:50 PM
Response to Original message
5. Zogby nailed it. Every other poll looks foolish, but Zogby got it spot on.
Zogby.
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-07-08 12:26 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. Zogby was right...SUSA wasn't
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PBS Poll-435 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-07-08 12:30 AM
Response to Reply #5
8. 1 out of 2 aint bad....
Oh wait, it kinda is.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-07-08 12:31 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. Zogby had Obama 49-47 in Indiana... it ended up 49-51... that's pretty accurate....
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ShadowLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-07-08 12:37 AM
Response to Original message
10. The polls have been wrong a lot this election
There's a long list of states where all the polls were dead wrong this election, mostly on the democratic side. New Hampshire, South Carolina, on the republican side Virginia was a lot closer then it was supposed to be.
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