Hint at what the internals are saying: Both candidates are spending the final 48 hours in Indiana..

[scheming daemons]

This says two things, both good for Obama:

1. NC is over. Hillary realizes this and is going to spend no more resources there.

2. Indiana is TIGHT. Hillary is being forced to defend her home turf, and Obama is on the offense - working on knocking down the margin there.



If you want to know what the internals are saying, then just watch where the candidates are the next two days. Both of them are scheduled to spend Monday exclusively in Indiana.


This is VERY good news for Obama.

[speedoo]

1. Yep.

Good news for Obama supporters.

[Kittycat]

2. Someone please explain to me how Indiana is "Home Turf" for HRC?

Growing up in wealthy Park Ridge (sub of Chicago) is not Indiana. Even geographically - Obama's current home is closer than where HRC grew up.

[scheming daemons]

3. Smaller black percentage than the national average... more "working class whites"....

[Kittycat]

10. I wouldn't call Park Ridge "working class"

Even today they far exceed surrounding areas, almost doubling the US. median HH income.

[faithfulcitizen]

16. Park Ridge isn't representative of the whole state. It will go Obama. It's rural & blue collar towns

he'll have trouble.

[papau]

32. Illinois TV saturation of Indiana is ONLY half the state -can O only win with >9% black vote?

[bvar22]

35. I don't know.

Check and see who won Wyoming, Utah, and Idaho.



"There are forces within the Democratic Party who want us to sound like kinder, gentler Republicans. I want us to compete for that great mass of voters that want a party that will stand up for working Americans, family farmers, and people who haven't felt the benefits of the economic upturn."---Paul Wellstone

[faithfulcitizen]

58. IL TV saturation only covers the NW corner of this state. Indianapolis stations cover 3/4 of state.

Most of Indiana is like Ohio, without all of the black people. More like Kentucky in its religious fervor. The non-stop Wright coverage has seriously hurt him here. It's a tough state for Obama. If he pulls off a win here now, on the heels of Wright's press club "show", it will be a miracle. (Praise Jesus!:))

[book_worm]

5. I think Indiana was expected to be for Hillary becuz it looks a lot like OH and PA

[CherokeeDem]

9. She has been claiming a lot of places as...

her home turf. There was talk early on that Obama would do well in the Gary, IN area due to it's proximity to Chicago. Then suddenly...since she is also from the Chicago area (at least this week) she has now claimed the state as "home". Next thing we know, when the KY primary comes around, she will have been born in Lincoln's birthplace.

[ZinZen]

45. Hillary does well with the Appalacia

voters. There are about three districts that border the Appalacia mountains.

[kmla]

46. What map are you looking at?

Because I don't see any mountains (especially Appalachian ones) when I travel Indiana...

[Bensthename]

54. This is another one of her "hometowns" havent you heard?

[book_worm]

4. I was wondering about that becuz I just heard on C-SPAN where the candidates are

yes, Obama will take NC (Michelle will be there tomorrow)and I do think Indiana must be closer than expected earlier this week. I think that Obama being on the offensive against the pandering gas tax is making a difference. It just makes Hill look like a typical politician. I think this will make a big difference with independent voters who can vote in Indiana.

[Tatiana]

6. Indiana is a dead heat, but I think it is starting to trend Obama's way again.

Independents will be the difference in this one.

[Zachstar]

18. Seems so.

[CindyKay]

33. Thank Goodness

Independents for Obama !

[KansasVoter]

7. Good point. I hope that is true.

[adoraz]

8. big thing is where they spend TUESDAY night

where there speeches will be, that is the big question. :)

I'm predicting-
Obama- NC
Clinton- IN

I'm hoping-
Obama-IN
Clinton- KY/WV (whichever votes next week)

[faithfulcitizen]

20. LOL! My wish: Clinton-NY :)

[adoraz]

25. LOL! I was actually going to put that

but I know it won't happen. doesn't matter if she loses both by 30%.

[Tribetime]

23. when would you usually know that by?

[adoraz]

27. probably tomorrow morning

Obama doesn't have Tuesday's schedule up yet, but they will announce where he'll be tomorrow and I expect it will be in the morning.

[Tribetime]

41. thanks your really on top of it

[jezebel]

11. I heard earlier that BOTH Hillary and Obama are making stops in NC tomorrow. nt

[scheming daemons]

12. Not according to C-Span's schedule.... but you may be right.....

...

[BeyondGeography]

13. Feels that way, at least as far as NC is concerned

[Zachstar]

17. NC is likely pretty safe tho not 100 percent of course.

My hope is that he wins by over 15 percent so that his delegate gain will erase Clintons gains from Indiana and PA.

[NJSecularist]

14. Indiana is Obama's home turf.

It's not Hillary's fault that he is doing absymally among whites. Obama should win Indiana, if he doesn't it's not a good sign.

[scheming daemons]

19. Hillary has been ahead in Indiana for months... it was 15 points a month ago....

...you're simply wrong.

Indiana has the same demographics as Ohio. She has a distinct advantage there.

[NJSecularist]

22. Umm.... Indiana is not like Ohio.

Indiana is more upscale. Indiana doesn't have an parts of Appalachia in it like Ohio does. Ohio doesn't have a large part of Chicago's media market in it like Indiana does.

Indiana is Obama's turf.

[scheming daemons]

26. Dude... I live practically on the Ohio border.......and have family in Anderson Indiana... you are

WAY off.

There is hardly *ANY* appalachia at all in Ohio.... maybe 3-5% of the electorate.

Indianapolis and Cincinnati are sister cities, as far as politics is concerned.


Gary Indiana is very much like Cleveland, only MUCH MUCH smaller.


The rest of the state of Indiana... and the rest of Ohio (except for Columbus)... is basically rural farmers and conservative suburbanites.


I travel to Indiana 6 or 7 times a year.... Driving through Ohio to get there.


Ohio's demographics, it can be argued are MORE "Obama's turf" than Indiana's.


Indiana is a conservative, repuke, "god-fearing" state full of rural and suburban white people.... It has less than half of the national average of blacks.


Indiana is to Hillary what Mississippi is to Obama. If Hillary doesn't win Indiana by a comfortable margin, she f-ed up badly.

[faithfulcitizen]

30. I'm a native Hoosier, born & raised, and you are spot on!

If anything, Obama had more going for him in Ohio. Exactly!


on edit: I was born in Richmond and most of my family live in Richmond/Eaton area- Hi Neighbor!

[WeDidIt]

51. Indiana is also the state where the KKK found resugence

in the 1920's.

Tehre is a strong racist background in Indiana. I grew up in rural Indiana in the 60's and in my small town there was a possibility of an African American family moving in. The uproar was astounding and I learned every racist term for African Americans ever spoken.

The African American family never moved into town due to fear for their lives.

[faithfulcitizen]

28. umm, yes it is. The southern half of Indiana is like Kentucky and our manufacturing is similar to OH

Not to mention Ohio has even more metropolitan cities, which favor Obama. Indiana is more upscale? Thanks, but that's a 1st! lol...

[Tatiana]

29. Please tell me where the "upscale" parts of Indiana are. I must have missed them. n/t

[faithfulcitizen]

31. hey, be nice

;)

[Tatiana]

34. Errrr... I hear there's an elistist enclave on the IU campus in Bloomington.

And umm... they serve skinny lattes in Evansville, don't they?

My daughter loves that upscale children's museum in Indianapolis ;)

Don't feel bad. Illinois is not Chicago. Our governor just runs the state from there. We've got southern IL here and... well, it's like Kentucky, Indiana, and Ohio all rolled into one.

[Buzz Clik]

52. The northern 'burbs of Indy are very, very nice.

[AllentownJake]

Indiana

Is hardly more upscale than Ohio...have you ever lived there?

[AllentownJake]

48. Indiana

Is hardly more upscale than Ohio...have you ever lived there?

[Buzz Clik]

50. Please stop. It is clear you haven't spent one moment in this state.

Give it up.

[faithfulcitizen]

24. BS, Indiana is wayyyyy different than Chicago. Yeah, Lake Co. is in the bag.

Most of the state is an uphill battle. Btw, it's not all whites, just the uneducated & older ones.

[Buzz Clik]

49. I thought this was an Obama supporter I was going to have to correct on this foolishness.

The extreme northwest corner of Indiana resembles Illinois. Despite the long border between the states, they bear no other political resemblance.

Southern Indiana is a carbon copy of Kentucky/West Virginia. Eastern Indiana tends to be quite similar to Ohio demographically. Indianapolis is a typical Midwestern large town: politically amorphous and confused.

Declaring Indiana "Obama's home turf" is an admission of complete ignorance of this state.

[saltpoint]

53. Both candidates have Illinois ties, just next door. Clinton was born there.

Indiana is a conflicted electoral minefield for Democrats and has been for some decades. The Ku Klux Klan was strong there in times past and just about anything south of 38th street in Indianapolis gets downright Southern in voting patterns. One would never confuse the geopolitical profile of Evansville with Austin, Madison, or Berkeley.

Indiana voters turned liberal U.S. Senator Birch Bayh away in 1980 in favor of a young Congressman named Dan Quayle.

Indiana Democrats rejected a traditional Native Son bid by Roger Brannigan in 1968 in favor of a ilberal Catholic, Robert Kennedy.

Ralph Reed was brought in one year to manage the Republican challenger's effort to unseat Democraticd incumbent Julia Carson. She whipped his sorry butt, held the seat until she died, and it is now filled by her grandson.

The gubernatorial primary race may have more impact tomorrow than folks realize. It's pretty much neck and neck right now, but it will bring a lot of people to the polls.

[Zachstar]

15. Hopefully he keep keep it within 5 in Indiana

Of course the MSM will claim it as a big victory for her but in terms of Math it will be a disaster for her Campaign.

[samsingh]

21. wow

[chyjo]

36. Definitely

Hillary is a dead duck. She is fortunate in getting to choose the fashion in which she dies.


GOBAMA!

[Alhena]

37. I think Obama is also in Durham, NC tomorrow

[Adelante]

55. I hope he is in NC part of the day

Bill Clinton's been making inroads down there.

[Shine]

38. I would LOVE Obama to win Indiana!

he'll definitely take NC, so a double whammy would be fantastic.

[JMDEM]

39. My internals are saying it's time to go grab a bite to eat. nt.

[PBS Poll-435]

60. My internals are rumbling. Breakfast might be a good idea.

[Stephanie]

40. thanks

:hi:

[grantcart]

42. I thought Obama seemed more confident in the last few days

Clinton seems a little more stressed out and trying too hard

[Tribetime]

43. someone I think Dave Shuster on friday night 25-30 supers

were ready to go to Obama if he took N.C. big

[TragedyandHope]

44. Sounds good

It's an exciting time for Hoosiers.

[Buzz Clik]

47. It's pretty damned clear: Obama takes NC comfortably, Hillary sqeaks by in Indiana.

Hillary declares a prohibitive victory in both states and declares West Virginia as the next "must win" state.

Move the goal posts. Again.

[mmonk]

56. I think Obama is here in NC today at the Research Triangle.

Bill Clinton was scheduled for Zebulon NC today.

[Secret_Society]

57. Bill's doin a whirlwind tour in NC today

[Seen the light]

59. Sorry, but this post is absolutely incorrect

You're right that NC is an Obama lock, but Hillary, Bill, Chelsea, Barack, Michelle, and even John McCain are all making stops in North Carolina today. Senator Clinton has two scheduled events, President Clinton has NINE, Chelsea has one, Senator Obama has one, and Michelle has two.

[faithfulcitizen]

61. UT OH, Hillary is spending Tuesday night in Indianapolis.

"Sen. Clinton returns to Indianapolis. At 6:30 pm Tuesday, she's scheduled to watch the returns with supporters at the Murat Center downtown."

http://www.wthr.com/global/story.asp?s=8271932

[Beacool]

62. You're wrong.

IN was supposed to be Obama's home turf, not Hillary's. Even in their projections of a few months ago they had it as an easy win.