[Update: Harold Ickes Memo] Hillary’s FIVE New Superdelegates + Lead in Gallup National and Indiana

[my2cent]

___________________

GALLUP NAT’L POLL TODAY: “Gallup Daily: Clinton 49%, Obama 45%“

___________________

INDIANA POLL (HRC IS NOW +10): “Indiana Poll Shows Clinton With Big Lead Over Obama“

The results of a statewide survey indicate a dramatic shift of support from Sen. Barack Obama in favor of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton in the Indiana Democratic presidential primary.

The survey, conducted by Indianapolis-based TeleResearch Corp. and released exclusively to RTV6, showed Clinton with a 10-point lead over Obama — 48 percent to 38 percent — with 14 percent …

___________________

The matching contribution drive has been extended. DONATE HERE, and your donation is automatically doubled. (You also get to write a short note to the person who is matching your donation.)

___________________

BREAKING/ JUST IN: FIFTH superdelegate in Connecticut endorses Hillary (press release below).

Four New York Automatic Delegates Back Hillary: Cuomo, Fields, DiNapoli, Arroyo named NY Automatic Delegates Today


The Clinton Campaign announced the support of four New York automatic delegates today, after the New York State Democratic Committee elected its automatic delegates to the Democratic National Convention.

The automatic delegates include New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, former Manhattan Borough President C. Virginia Fields, New York Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli and New York Assemblywoman Carmen Arroyo.

::::::::::::

UPDATE: FIFTH SUPERDELEGATE TODAY ENDORSES HRC:

Connecticut Automatic Delegate John Olsen Endorses Hillary
Connecticut automatic delegate John Olsen announced his support for Hillary Clinton today.

“Hillary Clinton is the champion working families need,” Olsen said. “She is a fighter and a doer who will stand up for the middle class and deliver quality, affordable health care for every American. She is the strongest candidate to beat John McCain in the general election and win back the White House.”

A DNC member since 1996, Olsen is President of the Connecticut AFL-CIO and former Democratic State Party Chair.

::::::::::::

UPDATE:
MEMO: HRC Strongest v. McCain

To: Automatic Delegates

From: Harold Ickes

Date: May 1, 2008

RE: HRC Strongest v. McCain

A spate of new public polls out this week confirms what we have been arguing for some time: Hillary Clinton is the strongest candidate to beat John McCain in November.

The data shows that Clinton not only outperforms Obama in head-to-head matchups, but is also stronger in the all important subcategories that serve as bellwethers for a candidate’s overall strength. In addition, new data out today in three swing states vital to Democratic prospects in November show Clinton beating McCain.

HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH MCCAIN: In a hypothetical general election match-up with McCain, Clinton wins handily (50-41) while Obama is virtually tied with McCain (46-44), according to the AP-Ipsos poll released Monday. A new poll from CBS/NYT show Clinton beating McCain by five points (48-43), while Obama ties McCain (45-45). The new Fox poll has Clinton beating McCain by one point (45-44), while Obama trails McCain by three points (43-46). And in Gallup’s daily tracking poll, Clinton leads McCain by one point (46-45) while Obama trails McCain by two points (44-46).

SWING STATES: New Quinnipiac polls out today show Clinton dramatically outperforms Obama in the critical swing states of Ohio in Florida. In Ohio, Clinton beats McCain by ten points (48-38), while Obama loses to him by one point (43-44). In Florida, Clinton beats McCain by 8 (49-41), while Obama loses to him by one point (42-43). Hillary also tops McCain by 14 points in Pennsylvania (51-37), while Obama’s lead over McCain is in single digits.

CLINTON BEATS MCCAIN AMONG INDEPENDENT VOTERS; OBAMA TIES HIM: The new AP poll has Clinton leading McCain among independents (50-34) while Obama is tied with him (42-42). The NBC/WSJ poll notes that Obama’s negative ratings among independents are they highest they have ever been.

CLINTON IS THE CANDIDATE VOTERS TRUST WITH THE ECONOMY: The economy is the top issue among voters and is likely to remain so through November. In the CBS/NYT poll, Hillary beat both Obama and McCain as the candidate who is talking about the economy most by a margin of 25% to Obama’s 13% and McCain’s 7%.

OBAMA UNFAVORABLES RISING QUICKLY: In the CBS/NYT poll, Obama’s unfavorables increased by ten points in the last month (24 to 34%) while his favorables decreased by four points. In the CBS/NYT poll, Obama’s unfavorables among independents rose to 31%. The Fox poll shows that in the last two months, Obama’s unfavorables have increased by nine points (33 to 42%) while his favorables decreased by seven points (54 to 47%). In the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, Obama’s negative ratings increased by five points in the last month (32 to 37%) while his positive ratings decreased by three points in the last month (49 to 46%).

CLINTON STRONGEST AMONG SWING VOTING BLOCS: The new AP-Ipsos poll shows Clinton leading McCain among seniors (51-39) but has McCain BEATING Obama (49-38). She runs stronger against McCain with those under 30 than Obama does, pulling two-thirds of the young vote while Obama gets 55% against McCain. And she wins the Catholic vote against McCain (58-35) while McCain beats Obama (46-43).

Read more press releases at HillaryClinton.com.

http://noquarterusa.net/blog/2008/05/01/hillarys-four-new-superdelegates-lead-in-gallup-national-poll/

:woohoo: :woohoo:

[ORDagnabbit]

1. there is no way clinton can make up the delegate deficit. the race is over and has been for awhile

[my2cent]

4. If the race is over,

Why is the primary still going on? bullshit

[ORDagnabbit]

6. show us the math that can create a clinton win. n/t

[my2cent]

9. like i said

the race is not over yet. keep dreaming!

[ORDagnabbit]

11. cant show the math can you?

[juajen]

20. Here's your math!

Every delegate, pledged or super, can change his/her affiliation from one candidate to another, if they so choose, and certainly are encouraged to do so if one candidate is surpassing the other in positives.

[JackORoses]

23. that's not math, that's Shit. pure and simple.

if you think that's going to happen, then you're more deluded than your master.

60% of the Country thinks that Hillary is a Liar.
It's hard to get higher negatives than she has.

[juajen]

21. I can explain the math.

Every delegate, whether pledged or super, has the right to change his mind, and is encouraged to do so where positives are overwhelming for another candidate. Capish?

[DJ13]

7. Huckabee is still on the GOP ballots

No one is saying Clintons name would be removed, just that its time to face reality and end her campaign.

[NeedleCast]

14. Welcome (back) to DU

The primary is still going on because all the states vote regardless of whether or not the race has already been decided. It's not bullshit and all the grasping at straws will not stop the inevitable Obama win.

[RememberWellstone]

31. She wins IN and NC, you'll be shitting

in your britches. This haughty attitude about Obama, is getting on the nerves of America. You lose Hillary supporters, you will lose the GE. Think about that one.

[trumad]

2. LOL

Dreaming ponies huh?

[Hoof Hearted]

3. And she now has the lead in - NORTH CAROLINA! The state she was supposed to just give up on!

Wooooooo Hooooooo!


GO HILLARY!:applause: :applause: :applause:

[my2cent]

5. Hell no

She wont give up.:smoke:

[ORDagnabbit]

8. um by one poll that some guy created that sean hannity had on.

all the other polls show an obama win

[RaleighNCDUer]

26. LOL

Never fucking happen.

One outlier poll does not a campaign make.

NC is Obama's, by 6-10 points.

[NJmaverick]

10. Guess she is right, she and the other rich people are blessed

[emilyg]

12. I don't mind if rich people's blessings

trickle down to me.

[NJmaverick]

15. yeah, got to love trickle

[progressoid]

24. Yeah, I sure felt trickled on during the Reagan years.

http://bp0.blogger.com/_v63oTveUEGI/RuS2rxUvV-I/AAAAAAAACt8/H3pVCGU7PMI/s320/trickle+down.jpg

[NorthCarolina]

28. My advice is don't hold your breath waiting for that "trickle down" n/t

[ElsewheresDaughter]

25. yawn

[grantcart]

13. And like your other thread you forgot to mention that today so far Obama +5 Clinton +4

http://thepage.time.com/2008/05/01/thursdays-super-battle/

[my2cent]

18. LOL

She has 5 now, He already endorse her. Time page need to update it.

UPDATE: FIFTH SUPERDELEGATE TODAY ENDORSES HRC:

Connecticut Automatic Delegate John Olsen Endorses Hillary
Connecticut automatic delegate John Olsen announced his support for Hillary Clinton today.

“Hillary Clinton is the champion working families need,” Olsen said. “She is a fighter and a doer who will stand up for the middle class and deliver quality, affordable health care for every American. She is the strongest candidate to beat John McCain in the general election and win back the White House.”

lol,


:rofl:

[RaleighNCDUer]

27. Still haven't figured out how subractions works, huh?

5 MINUS Andrews = 4.

EDIT:
Let's take it from the top.

You have 20 apples. You get five more apples. How many do you have? 25

One apple rolls off the table, and winds up in Obama's pocket. How many do you have? 24

You started with 20, added five, and subtracted one. That is called a net gain of 4.

Tomorrow, we look at fractions.

[grantcart]

29. and one of her earliest SD's switched from Clinton to Obama

5-1=4

your own source put an asterisk there to help you.

[JNelson6563]

16. One question re: "Automatic delegate" meme

Why does the Clinton campaign work so hard to change the term from super-delegate to automatic-delegate? I'm sorry to say this but every time I hear it I am reminded of how hard Faux Snooze tried to morph "suicide bomber" into "homicide bomber". Every time I have ever heard it since it's by some reich-winger.

So, what up with this attempt to alter the vernacular on this?

Julie

[Austinitis]

17. Don't forget her 10 point gain in Rasmussen

that's pretty huge.

[my2cent]

19. thank you

LOL:rofl: Rise hillary rise.:applause:

[thoughtcrime1984]

22. Cherry-picked polls and NY add-ons, sounds "Icke" to me!

Buh-bye Shill.

[Edgewater_Joe]

30. Panic Much, Hillbot?

You know damn well all of this was in spinning reaction to the Andrews defection, and the typically classy Wolfson response ("He's not really from IN!") proves that he is likely going to trigger erosion in Hillary's support.

IN has been volatile for weeks and will probably stay that way; the Gallup poll will stabilize once NC comes in for Obama, which it now appears it will, and to reiterate once again because you're too damn stubborn to see it otherwise: HILLARY. HAS. LOST.

And you continue to aid and abet McSameAsBush with your divisive BS.

Try coping rather than spinning, Hillbot.