Rassmussen new polls, Obama tanking in NH

[sunonmars]

Clinton Gains on McCain in New Hampshire, Obama Heads in Opposite Direction

The new Granite State numbers show McCain leading Clinton by three percentage points, 47% to 44%. A month ago, the former First Lady was trailing by six.

As for Obama, he now trails McCain by ten percentage points, 51% to 41%. A month ago, he was within three of the presumptive Republican nominee. Two months ago, at the height of Obamamania, Obama led McCain here by thirteen points.

Also

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that Barack Obama’s former Pastor, Jeremiah Wright, has had a significant impact on the race for the White House. The news is not good for Obama.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election2

The really bad news, many did not believe him, especially independents.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of New Hampshire voters have followed news stories about Obama’s former Pastor Very Closely. Another 32% have followed the story Somewhat Closely. Most (53%) say that Obama was not surprised by Wright’s views expressed to the media on Monday. Only 32% believe the Democratic frontrunner was surprised. A plurality of Democrats (47%) were willing to give Obama the benefit of the doubt on this point, but most unaffiliated voters and an overwhelming percentage of Republicans were not.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of New Hampshire voters say it’s at least Somewhat Likely that Obama shares some of Pastor Wright’s controversial views about the United States. That figure includes 73% of Republicans, 55% of unaffiliated voters, and 36% of Democrats.

Most voters (56%) say Obama denounced Wright because it was politically convenient. Only 33% believe he was truly outraged.

[cali]

1. Actually, this isn't particularly good news for either

Clinton or Obama, but as a close neighbor of NH- I live 40 minutes from the border, I think NH really is safe for the dem nominee when it comes right down to it. I could certainly be wrong, but that's my take. I don't think there's any doubt that Wright has damaged Obama, but we'll have to wait and see how much damage.

[glowing]

2. N.H. is ready to change is Repug. strong arm? I'm amazed.

[Hawaii Hiker]

4. I don't get NH, most of New England area is strongly Democrat,

what's in the water in New Hampshire that they vote Republican, :banghead:

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I Have Read Many Folks Left Massachusetts For New Hampshire's Low Taxes

But I am in no way an expert on their politics...

[Tesha]

37. This is a correct assessment.

NH is rabidly anti-tax.

Tesha

[Jennicut]

6. NH is the "live free or die" state, they are almost libertarian in their thinking

No government interference is the way. Vermont, right next door, is probably the most liberal state in the whole U.S. but NH has always been about dislike of big government. My father-in-law grew up in CT like me but moved to NH. He is a Repub. He wants low taxes, small government. Unfortunately, the current crop of Rethugs are bigger spenders than any liberal would dream of being. So, hence NH's confusion. I think in a GE McCain would easily win NH, even over Hillary. He would talk about his "spending cuts" but leave out the inconvenient part about spending trillions on the war.

[Hawaii Hiker]

7. Exactly, McBush favors this $400 million a DAY war

plus he favors far right Supreme Court justices, etc...When McBush nominates Supreme Court justice(s) that overturn Roe V. Wade, talk about govt. interference, :banghead: :banghead: :banghead:

[zanne]

31. There are pockets of Libertarians here but I think you're exaggerating.

The Libertarians have been trying for years to get a movement going here, even to the point of urging other Libertarians to move here. But the state has a Democratic majority for the first time in decades. NH is changing; the demographics are very different from what they were twenty, even ten years ago.

[cali]

8. Actually, ttheir two Congressional reps are dems

their gov is a dem, and a dem is expected to beat Sununu for a US Senate seat. I don't believe either dem would lose in NH.

[Jennicut]

9. I guess its improving, I hope I'm wrong.

[zanne]

29. It's definitely improving...

For the first time in over 100 years, our state House and Senate is Democratic. I volunteer for Jeanne Shaheen for Senate. We're running against John Sununu and she's already ahead by double digits. NH was never an Obama state. The Clintons, both Bill and Hillary, have always been very big here.

[Tesha]

36. Radon. Stupidium. Exiles from the Massachusetts tax system.

In many ways, NH is an aberation among the New England states.

Tesha

[rodbailey]

12. And that is why

we need to find someone who can really win in November - Gore is the one. He doesn't have the baggage that either Clinton or Obama have. Teamed with Obama, though, that would be a winning ticket and give us 16 good years of a Dem. in the White House. Check out the new web site devoted to this idea - www.thealgoresolution.com. See what we're proposing to try to make this happen.

[sunonmars]

3. updated.

[Neshanic]

10. I am shocked! This is just so unpredicted, so unimagined. How could we have predicted this?

[Name removed]

11. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[cali]

13. yeah, all us Vermonters who gave Obama a 21 pt win over Hill

really suck. I hate that kind of generalization. Try substituting the word black for white. How does it sound now?

[Iceburg]

16. You Obama supporters seem obsessed with race ...how about talking issues for a change

(ie. Change we can believe in).

Every instance in which his judgment has been questioned has been distilled to racism by his supporters. People are fed up with this victim mentality.

They want to hear what he has to say on real issues. But that won't happen as he's afraid to debate, he's afraid to participate in interviews unless he has complete control over the topics and questions in advance. While I do not at all care for O'Reilly, I give Hillary tremendous credit for having the confidence to accept an invitation to debate with the arse. Further, I applaud her performance -- she was masterful. No doubt she won many Indies over with that performance. You won't see Obama on O'Reilly, nor in any other hostile environment -- he's too weak and he knows it.

[hokies4ever]

38. Obama played the race card?

LOL! How does if feel knowing that Hillary had to draft a concession speech today just in case she needs to drop out of the race tomorrow night? It will be the only inspiring speech she's given this primary season. :rofl:

[goclark]

40. No they don't ! I am African American and

I support Obama.

There are some good and bad in all races.

No broad brush politics will work in this election.

We need to change America and believe and work to see that it is a better place.

[wiseguy182]

14. polls

I have no idea why polls are still around. They're so inaccurate, it's hilarious.

polls don't matter. votes matter.

The war is insanely unpopular in New Hampshire, and McCain is on the wrong side of it. Dem candidate wins NH.

[Iceburg]

15. moved /nt

[Perry Logan]

17. Too much dirty campaiging. Too many lies.

[Political Heretic]

19. Name some.

EDIT - I shouldn't have asked that now because I'm about to finish a grave yard shift and go to bed, so could be a while before I can respond.

[Perry Logan]

20. Blogger Joe Cannon makes the case against Obama.

There's a blog called Cannonfire that argues against Obama, though he is not a Hillary supporter:
http://cannonfire.blogspot.com/

[Political Heretic]

23. You realize that there's not one connection to the Obama campaign there?

Every sentence is an unsubstantiated accusation with no connection to Obama or to the Obama campaign team. Every link goes to private bloggers not part of the Obama campaign. If you want to argue that Obama bloggers have been dirty fighters, go right ahead. I'm sure that's probably true. What does that have to do with the Obama campaign?

Newsflash, there are crazy supporters out there! I'm shocked. SHOCKED I TELL YOU!

EDIT - okay now I finished my breakfast, and I'm going to bed.

[Iceburg]

27. I'll add to that -- Too much drama, and too little little reality /nt

[Political Heretic]

18. Nice...kicking this on May 4th. Try looking at the numbers now.

Tanking? Nope.

[Perry Logan]

21. You Obama people contest everything!

[Political Heretic]

22. I was contesting inaccuracies long before this election season.

Why should I stop now?

[Perry Logan]

33. Actually, I appreciate any help I can get on understanding these polls.

[Yossariant]

24. I looked. Tanking. Obama down 8 in less than a week.

The race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination is now tied. Clinton and Obama are each supported by 45% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters. Last Monday, Obama led by eight.

[frickaline]

25. The "live free or die" state strikes again

Personally I always think of NH and republican bordering on libertarian. Most of the people that I know from up there want almost no government at all. Whether its the seatbelt law, the motorcyclist helmet law, or being able to shoot people on your land, they just don't want government involved.

I don't think this is a good place for any Democratic candidate.

[Vinca]

26. Get a freaking grip. Until someone is actually running against

McCain, all of these polls are bullshit. I'd bet there isn't one person in New Hampshire - where I happen to live - who knows McCain wants to take their employer-provided health insurance away. The MSM isn't covering it because they're too busy pastorbating. McCain's plan would most likely quadruple or worse the number of uninsured.

[zanne]

30. EXACTLY!

That's what I've been saying for months now. It makes sense that, before our nominee is decided, the Dem vote will be split against McCain. He doesn't stand a chance once we have our nominee and he has to campaign against him/her.

[aquarius dawning]

34. The thing is, lots of polls in lots of different states are showing this same thing.

I think that excuse is only goingto go so far before people have to wonder why it is that he can't beat McCain in the swing states as it is a VERY BIG FUCKING DEAL.

[goclark]

41. Exactly!

[Maribelle]

28. Obama is tanking is many places in addition to New Hampshire.

Poor widdle baby.

[Vinca]

32. It's not so much Obama tanking as McCain rising.

He's unopposed and getting zero media scrutiny.

[aquarius dawning]

35. Ohio, Missouri, Florida and Pennsylvania to name just a few.

[high density]

39. Well let us know who wins the World Series

or where the S&P 500 closes on November 4... Otherwise welcome to a snapshot in time that is not November 4.