Obama electability memo: Outperforms HRC in IA, NC, OR, WI, MN, NM, MI, NV, CO, MT, VA, ND and TX

[BeyondGeography]

Not to mention IL:

Who's the strongest candidate to take on John McCain?

After 45 contests, Senator Obama has won more delegates, twice as many states and territories, and more of the popular vote. He's won in every part of the country, and has scored victories among every segment of electorate. He's inspired Democrats, Independents, and Republicans, building an unprecedented coalition of more than 1.4 million contributors. And when it comes to head-to-head match-ups versus John McCain, Obama performs better than Clinton in key states and shows the potential to put new states in play for Democrats up and down the ballot.

Polling data from across the country, from large states and small, reflects the advantage Senator Obama would bring in a race this fall. His ability to expand the Democratic base, and his ability to capture the crucial Independent vote, make him a stronger candidate than Senator Clinton, who would enter the fall campaign with the highest unfavorable ratings of any nominee in half a century.

Big States:

California: Obama beats McCain by 27, Clinton beats him by 23. (SurveyUSA, 2/23)

New York: A February poll of Clinton's home state shows her beating McCain by 11, while Obama beats McCain by 10. (Quinnipiac, 3/18)

New Jersey: Obama and Clinton both beat McCain by 5. (Farleigh Dickinson, 3/30)

Illinois: Obama beats McCain by 29 in his home state, while Clinton wins by 9. (SurveyUSA, 2/28)

Traditional Battlegrounds:

Iowa: Obama up 7, Clinton down 6. (SurveyUSA, 4/17),
Among Independents: Obama up 9, Clinton down 31. (Rasmussen, 3/31)

North Carolina: Clinton trails McCain by 11, Obama ties him. (Rasmussen, 4/10)
Among Independents: Obama up 8, Clinton down 16. (Rasmussen, 4/10)

Oregon: Obama up 9, Clinton up only 1 (SurveyUSA, 4/17) A march poll showed Obama up 6 and Clinton down 6 (Rasmussen, 3/26)
Among Independents: Obama up 11, Clinton up 4. (Rasmussen, 3/26)

Wisconsin: Obama up 5 while Clinton ties. (SurveyUSA, 4/17) A March poll showed Obama up 4 and Clinton down 4. (WPR, 3/26)
Among Independents: Obama up 17, Clinton up 2. (Rasmussen, 3/26)

Michigan: Obama trailing by 1, Clinton trailing by 3. (Rasmussen, 3/25) A February poll showed Obama up 8 and Clinton tied. (Rasmussen, 2/17)

New Mexico: Obama up by 3, Clinton down by 3. (Rasmussen, 4/8)
Among Independents: Obama up 8, Clinton down 5. (Rasmussen, 4/8)

Nevada: Obama leads by 4, Clinton leads by 1. (Rasmussen 3/19)

Minnesota: Obama up 14, Clinton up 5. (Rasmussen, 4/22)
Among Independents: Obama up 9, Clinton down 14. (Rasmussen 3/19)

Pennsylvania: Clinton up 9, Obama up 8 (Rasmussen, 4/9)
Among Independents: Obama down 1, Clinton down 19. (Rasmussen, 4/9)

Making New States Competitive:

Colorado: Obama up 3, Clinton down 14. (Rasmussen, 4/19) A February poll showed up Obama up 9 and Clinton down 6. (SurveyUSA, 2/28)
Among Independents: Obama up 9, Clinton down 13. (Rasmussen, 3/17)

North Dakota: Obama up 4, Clinton down 19. (SurveyUSA, 2/28)
Among Independents: Obama up 9, Clinton down 29. (Survey USA, 2/28)

Virginia: Obama down 8, Clinton down 16. (SurveyUSA, 4/17)
Among Independents: Obama up 10, Clinton down 8. (SurveyUSA, 3/16)

Montana: Obama down 5, Clinton down 18 (Rasmussen, 4/6)
Among Independents: Obama down 2, Clinton down 12 (Rasmussen, 4/6)

Texas: Obama down only 1, Clinton down 7 (SurveyUSA, 2/28)

http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/stateupdates/gGCjTy

[jefferson_dem]

1. Kick for Truth.

Hillary and electability in 2008 = Chimpy and war hero status in 2004.

Try to steal your opponents positive reality and pretend it's your own.

Only this time, nobody believes her.

[Ichingcarpenter]

2. These are numbers and require math and reading comprehension

I guess it says something that Clinton couldn't understand.

[Tellurian]

4. Caucuses work for Obama...Primary ballots...not so much!

[jefferson_dem]

8. SC, AL, CT, DE, GA, IL, MO, UT, LA, WA, Dems Abroad, MD, VA, WI, VT, MS...

don't count, eh?

:spray:

[Tellurian]

11. The point was, his thugs can't muscle folks to well in a voting booth!

[wileedog]

14. And no one can rig cauceses

Oh snap!

[Coexist]

3. ,

[Nitrogenica]

5. These facts will be the same tomorrow, 2 weeks from now, and all the way to Denver.

[tammywammy]

6. recommended

[Zachstar]

7. Bingo!

[SunsetDreams]

9. Excellent!

We need a Dem who can pull in Independents and Republicans.

Hillary does much worse with Independents with McCain. Obama solidifies them more over McCain. She will energize the Republican base as well.

We need to win!

[gsaguyCLW54]

10. Until the GOP starts winning hearts and minds with their....

...commercials, mass mailings etc citing Rev. Wright, "bitter", "clinging to guns, religion and antipathy" ads. They will mobilize the same folks who came out for Bush with the rev. Wright ads. it will be brutal to watch.

[hendo]

12. K&R

keep speaking the truth

[TahitiNut]

13. Ohhh! All dem numbers! Brain freeze! Brain freeze.

:evilgrin:

:rofl:

[WA98296]

15. Thanks!

[Bensthename]

16. Hillary didnt major in math. She majored in miracles.

[jconner27]

17. That 's it then

If the pro Obama site says it then it must be so.. even tho the campaign haven't start and the Republicans haven't gone after Obama yet.

[jconner27]

18. That 's it then

If the pro Obama site says it then it must be so.. even tho the campaign haven't start and the Republicans haven't gone after Obama yet.