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Please: there is only one way to calculate the margin of victory

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Bad Thoughts Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:11 PM
Original message
Please: there is only one way to calculate the margin of victory
It's not % of votes for candidate A minus % of votes for candidate B. It's difference between votes for candidate A and candidate B divided by total votes.

55% - 45% is wrong
54.6% - 45.4% is wrong
( 1,237,696 - 1,029,672 ) / 2,267,368 is the only correct method. Rounding can only be done after this calculation is complete.

Note: numbers subject to change with further reporting.
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ChairmanAgnostic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:13 PM
Response to Original message
1. Let me do that in my head. I guess around 0.091746 difference
far less than the 10% being bandied around.
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Bad Thoughts Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:18 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Depends on how you round
Obama people would like best this one: rounding to the nearest 1, which comes to zero.
Clinton people would like to round to the nearest .1, which comes to .10 or 10%.
More accurate: round to the neares .01, which comes to .09 or 9%.
More accurate stil: .001, which comes to .092, or 9.2% ...
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ChairmanAgnostic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. HAH! only my tummy tum tum is round.
So, let's agree on 9.2%
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:20 PM
Response to Original message
3. She only won 12 delegates, he's over 100 delegates ahead
THAT is the only way to calculate the margin of "victory".
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Bad Thoughts Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:23 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. I'll agree
It's the best measure of what was won, but since much of the discussion about the viability of her campaign rested on some formulation of a double digit percentile lead, and the discussion of the margin of victory seems to matter to some, I'd like to see them get it right.
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LSK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-23-08 12:21 PM
Response to Original message
4. 12
Is the only number that matters. That is how the system works.
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