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to have really aged. He looks far older than others his age - including Gore, Bush and Kerry (who is 2 or 3 years older).
But more important is to look where she will likely be in 2008, if McCain won. (There is no way she will beat Obama as a sitting President - Kennedy couldn't beat Carter) After the defeat, there will be two camps spinning as to what happened. Assuming that Obama did not flagrantly awful in the election, it will divide into two camps - those who blame Obama and those who blame the Clintons.
The fact that there are already massive leaks of what happened behind the scenes in the Clinton camp that are extremely unflattering. They have had several shakeups, financial problems - both of accepting money they shouldn't have and in some people not signaling there were cash problems when there were, and they have had surrogates who have done things to embarrass the candidate. They started with the support of most of the "Democratic party in exile" in the think tanks, the most name recognition, a primary schedule designed to fit her like a glove and result in a conclusive Feb 5 win and 8 or more years of the media gradually making the case that she was the inevitable candidate. Her campaign has been a disaster and she a rather mediocre candidate - clearly smart, but unable to hide the nastier side of her personality.
Why should that matter? In late 2006, a pundit that I liked and respected, made a comment that was rather snarky, though not in any way nasty about Kerry's chances that was not the main point of the article. I wrote a response defending Kerry and was surprised that he responded to me. We exchanged a few emails and in the last one he said that he really liked Kerry, agreed more with his positions than anyone and thought he was still the one he would want to have a beer with, BUT he thought that the Kerry general election campaign had internal problems that could have indicated his ability to run an administration. Now, I could have responded by pointing out that the Kerry primary campaign was excellent and that perhaps it was the addition of the people from other campaigns and the Clinton people that were the problem - but this would only be my conjecture of why, not a disputation of his view of the campaign.
Now, Clinton's primary campaign has been far worse than Kerry's general election campaign - in terms of showing how she would run an administration and people she would rely on. Also, she has done serious damage to her own reputation. She is now seen as untrustworthy and as a not very nice person. Her unfavorables are high and I would imagine could go higher among people who will blame her as much as Obama. Also, a large part of inevitable will be Bill Clinton - but he is NOT in the same place he was a year ago - his negatives have increased. There also may be people who see that he won, but lost both houses of Congress and was not a major positive in 2000, 2004 or 2008. HRC has also not really been the Senate powerhouse that some claim - what would be for reason for being considered?
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