Rasmussen Pennsylvania: Obama: 47, McLame: 39 ; Clinton: 48, McInsane: 39

[NJSecularist]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election

While Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton continue to compete against each other in Pennsylvania’s Presidential Primary, both Democrats have opened a lead over John McCain in the Keystone State.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Pennsylvania finds Obama leading McCain 47% to 39% and Clinton with a 47% to 38% advantage. That’s a significant change from a month ago when McCain was essentially even with both Democrats.

It’s especially interesting to note that the Democrats have gained ground on McCain during their Pennsylvania Primary battle. Just the opposite happened in neighboring Ohio. McCain took the lead in the Buckeye State following the Democratic battle and has retained that lead over the past month. Democratic struggles in Michigan also appear to have benefitted McCain.

Perhaps the six-week pace of the Pennsylvania Primary has worked to benefit the Democrats’ general election prospects. Over the past month, favorable ratings for both Democrats have improved a bit. Obama is now viewed favorably by 57% of the state’s voters, Clinton by 53%. A month ago, those figures were 53% and 50% respectively. McCain is now viewed favorably by 50%, down from 55% in March.

Rasmussen Markets shows that Democrats are currently given a - % chance of winning Pennsylvania’s twenty-one Electoral College Votes this fall. John Kerry won the state for the Democrats in 2004 by a narrow 51% to 48% margin. Four years earlier, Al Gore won the state by four percentage points. Immediately prior to release of this poll, Pennsylvania was rated as “Leans Democrat” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Balance of Power projections indicate that the Electoral College scoreboard is a toss-up at this time.

In Pennsylvania, among all Likely Voters, 78% say relations between Black and White Americans have improved since the 1960s. Just 9% disagree. By a 62% to 16% margin, Pennsylvania voters believe they are continuing to improve. Still, 17% say they have personally witnessed acts of discrimination within the past week. Forty-five percent (45%) say that African-Americans face more discrimination than women. Twenty-eight percent (28%) take the opposite view and say women face more discrimination. Men overwhelmingly say that African-Americans face more discrimination. Women are more evenly divided.

Hillary doesn't have much of an advantage in the Keystone State in the GE, does she? :crazy: :crazy: :crazy: There goes another Clinton electability argument

[GarbagemanLB]

1. Clearly that 47 percent is only youth and black votes. No whites would ever vote for him.

:sarcasm:

[MadBadger]

2. The indies come out for Obama...thats why even if he loses in the primary, her argument doesnt hold.

This is a closed primary.

[NJSecularist]

6. The indies will also vote for McCain

But there is more than enough Democratic support in the state, provided he can keep it, that can help him win the state.

[loveangelc]

3. the campaigning in pa obama is doing is laying down a good foundation for the GE

even when he doesnt win the primary.

[NJSecularist]

4. Yup. The extended campaign will help Obama in the general in certain states.

I really highly doubt he'll lose Pennsylvania.

[StrongBad]

5. I agree. This is a main reason why I don't mind the prolonged primary process

Even if it is ugly, any publicity is good publicity and it sort of innoculates Obama for the mess that most likely will be thrown at him during the general election campaign.

[PA Democrat]

7. The PA primary is usually a big non-event. It's really exciting to

see the Democratic candidates campaigning here. I think it works to Obama's advantage, as more people already knew who Hillary Clinton was, and many people are just learning about Obama.

[speedoo]

8. This shows that McCain is not nearly as strong as some polls indicate.

It shows that when the dems (particularly Obama IMO) campaign in a state they beat him convincingly.

Yes, it's true that he's not campaigning there, so it's not a clean comparison. But IMO he's a poor campaigner, and not well funded (as Obama is) so I don't think it would make much differenence.

[MadBadger]

9. Right, like that Marist poll out of NY. If Obama can beat him by 8 here, he isnt losing in NY.

[speedoo]

10. Exactly. That NY poll was one that I was thinking of. nt

[NJSecularist]

11. That Marist poll is a bunch of BS. No way Obama loses NY. He wins by 15-20. n/t