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LA Times Poll Shows Kerry With Solid Lead Nationwide 51-44

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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:05 PM
Original message
LA Times Poll Shows Kerry With Solid Lead Nationwide 51-44
Judy Woodruff is not going to like this news. First Gallup and now LA Times.

Poll Shows Kerry With Solid Lead Nationwide
"Widespread unease over the country's direction and doubts about President Bush's policies on Iraq and the economy helped propel Sen. F. John Kerry to a solid lead among voters nationwide," according to a Los Angeles Times Poll to be released Thursday.

Kerry leads Bush 51% to 44% in a two-way match up, and by 48% to 42% with independent Ralph Nader included in the choice.

"Lifting Kerry is a powerful tailwind of dissatisfaction with the nation's course and Bush's answers for challenges at home and abroad. Nearly three-fifths believe the nation is on the wrong track, the highest level a Times poll has recorded during Bush's presidency."

Update: The Financial Times has more on the poll.
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MikeG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:07 PM
Response to Original message
1. My prediction -Tomorrow on Fox News: Is Kerry Imploding?
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David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:09 PM
Response to Original message
2. Like Gore, Kerry could win popular vote but lose electoral vote.
This poll shows Kerry wins the popular vote by a larger margin than Gore but may lose key swing states like OH, WI, and MO, which could cost him the electoral college.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-10-04 10:13 AM
Response to Reply #2
15. If he won the popular vote by 7 percent
hr wouldn't lose the electoral college. Those states you cite are very close, and with the undecideds factored in, Kerry would likely win them.
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Warren DeMontague Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:09 PM
Response to Original message
3. Never Fear

The media is counting on the 24/7 Reagan Mourn-a-Thon to cut into those numbers.
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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:14 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. This poll was taken after Reagans death
nt
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tandot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:11 PM
Response to Original message
4. I think we all know that Bush is toast.
People are just tired of that BS. And the passing of Reagan reminds even Bush-supporters how un-Presidential Bush really is. Not that I am a fan of Reagan, but a lot more people (even Democrats) liked him as a person. You can't say that about Bush.
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:54 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. I hated Reagan. But I can acknowledge that he had personal charm...
He had "it." I remember that a lot of people loved him like a grandfather.
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:32 PM
Response to Original message
6. Link to LATimes article on the poll by Ron Brownstein...
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:53 PM
Response to Original message
7. Ralphie's numbers seem to be evaporating. Say...
Edited on Wed Jun-09-04 09:56 PM by Kahuna
buh bye, Ralphie. Looks like you won't get to join in the debates afterall.
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 09:58 PM
Response to Original message
9. Hey! Wasn't the Tenet resignation suppose to give * a boost?
Guess not. :evilgrin:
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DaveSZ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. .
"The surveys showed that Bush still enjoys significant political strengths, including virtually undivided support from his base and continued admiration for his handling of the struggle against terrorism. Nationally, his general approval rating is just above 50% - the mark that has divided the winners from the losers in recent presidential elections featuring an incumbent."



That's not good news.

His approval rating is more important than the horse race poll, and it should be under 50% for Kerry to have a chance.



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David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 11:30 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Bush's approval rating will drop.
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DaveSZ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-09-04 11:36 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Not on economic numbers it won't
We need some of the scandals to stick in order for it to drop.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-10-04 10:18 AM
Response to Reply #12
17. His approval rating on the economy is bad
in every poll.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-10-04 10:17 AM
Response to Reply #10
16. Actually, that support has to be really weak
Edited on Thu Jun-10-04 10:20 AM by lancdem
No incumbent with an approval rating of 50 percent should be trailing any challenger, particularly one who's still a bit of an unknown quantity.

BTW, he's under 50 percent approval in every other recent poll, where he's at 43-49 percent.

Also, the right track-wrong track numbers are bad for Bush, and that's an excellent barometer.
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VOX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-10-04 03:09 AM
Response to Original message
13. Could the sheeple finally be waking up?
It's a lot to ask, but is it possible?
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MoonRiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-10-04 08:43 AM
Response to Original message
14. This is so awesome!
I posted the poll and its link in GD. It's beginning to look more and more like a LANDSLIDE!! :kick: If Kerry picks Clark we wipe the floor with *'s arse! :bounce:
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