Strategic Vision will be out with a Pa poll tomorrow. Clinton 47, Obama 42

[jezebel]

It really looks like that SUSA poll is an outlier. Sorry for the link to the national review but the poll info is there.

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/

Survey USA Out of Step? Strategic Vision Puts Hillary Ahead in PA by 5

I hear from David Johnson of Strategic Vision that his company will be releasing a Pennsylvania poll tomorrow .

The poll, conducted April 4-6, 2008 of 1200 likely Pennsylvania voters, shows Clinton leading with 47 percent to Obama 42 percent. Interestingly, in the general election match-up it shows Clinton 45percent to 42 percent for McCain; and McCain 48 percent to 41 percent for Obama. For the Democratic primary the margin of error is +/- 4.5% for the general election it is +/-3%.

The SurveyUSA numbers Rich posted in the Corner are fascinating, but so far, other pollsters aren't seeing the Hillary bounce that SUSA sees...

[Kittycat]

1. The SUSA poll was a pretty small sampling, wasn't it? Under 900 I think.

[jezebel]

2. Yep, 597 Likely voters. nt

[BeyondGeography]

4. Here are the tabs

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c79e5bab-a424-49f6-86d6-50c61cf729b7

[truebrit71]

3. "aren't seeing the Hillary bounce that SUSA sees"..that's because it doesn't exist...

....down to 5 points eh? Methinks it's time for Hillary to dust off that concession speech and prepare to exit stage left...

[MadBadger]

5. I dont trust them for the GE matchups because its a Republican Pollster.

[bluestateguy]

6. Hillary will get nothing out of a 53%-47% win.

It will all be washed away two weeks later in North Carolina and a likely draw in Indiana.

[Zachstar]

8. And that is a big point.

Clinton does not need a small win she needs a BIG win as Obama will erase the leads later if she does not pick up 30 delegates net.

Things are not looking great for the Clinton Campaign.

[ORDem]

7. With an MOE of 4.5%, they're tied. n/t

:kick:

[Bullet1987]

9. What has happened that has enabled the big Hillary bounce that SUSA shows?

That's why I'm skeptical of it.

[Barack_America]

11. It's sampling error. They sampled too few people.

And I suspect they had a regional bias. Micropolitics reign supreme in PA, it must be a pain in the ass for pollsters.

[Symarip]

10. The polls seem all over the place again from this point of view

But man, it seems like only three weeks ago she was leading by 20 point leads... Oh wait, she was.