REPUBLICANS will Keep the White House - Democratic Underground

rockthevote2006

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Thu Mar-27-08 02:07 PM
Original message

REPUBLICANS will Keep the White House

Edited on Thu Mar-27-08 02:48 PM by rockthevote2006

My fellow Democrats,
We have endured 8 years of a horrible Administration.
The economy is in a recession. The war is costly and very unpopular.
Gas prices are at record highs, while America's reputation in the world
is at record lows. The Republicans have messed things up big time.

And yet, the next President will probably be a Republican.
And he will also nominate solid conservatives to the Supreme Court,
making the court a solid right wing base.

Why do I say this?
Although the Democrats have raised record amounts of money, and voters
are energized and angry at the Republicans, there are 4 solid reasons
why John McCain will probably win.

1. Recent polls show that about 19% of Obama supporters will vote for McCain
if Hillary is nominated. Polls also show that 28% of Hillary supporters will
vote for McCain if Obama is nominated. And then there are those who will just
not vote at all, if their Democratic favorite is not nominated.
In fact, I have spoken to quite a few Hillary supporters who told me that if
Obama is nominated, they will just stay home and not vote.

2. Florida and Michigan. Regardless of who is right or wrong, the truth is
that the chances of a Democratic victory in these 2 important states goes down
significantly due to the whole unseated delegate fiasco. There will be some
angry Florida and Michigan Democrats, enough to hurt the party's chances in those
key states.

3. Sean Hannity, Bill O'Reilly, Laura Ingraham, Rush Limbaugh, etc. will work
day and night to scare people away from the Democrats. And yes, a lot of people
do fall for their scare tactics

4. Some people, including some Democrats, will simply not vote for a woman or a black
man. It's unfortunate, but it's still out there. America has always voted for white men,
and nobody knows if America will be any different this time.

So basically, I think the Republicans have a really good chance of keeping the White House,
mostly because the Democrats are split between 2 candidates while John McCain is out there
raising money and uniting his party. There will be quite a few Democrats who would rather
vote for McCain than the other Democratic nominee. The Florida and Michigan mess doesn't help.

8 years of Bush, a war, a recession, but the Republicans will keep the White House.

Edit: I wanted to add that I am a solid Democrat and I loathe the Republicans.
I really want a Democrat to win this time. I really do.
This post is more of a warning about the tough battle head, not a defeatist message.
By all means, I'm hoping a Dem wins. I'm just saying we cannot forget the problems
we face, most notably the feud between the Hillary and Obama supporters. We should be
attacking McCain, not other Democrats. This extended primary is getting too negative
and the resources are being used against each other, instead of against McCain.