Kerry is doing similar to how he was doing after the primaries in polls

[fujiyama]

Looks like Kerry is getting close to where he was at earlier, right after the primaries. Two polls this week have had him beating Bush by 5 points or so, and have him at or even over 50%. This is bad news for Bush.

Bush seemed to have had an especially bad week. With the torture scandal not abating, the horrific death of Berg, and the situation in Iraq not improving at all, it seems as though more people are questioning the wisdom of going to war.

Kerry isn't quite where he was at earlier. He's not leading by 8-12 points as he was at certain points right after the primaries, but he's close. Unfortunately since then, those annoying Bush ads have had some effect in raising Kerry's negatives. However, my guess is that the ads made people question Kerry a bit, but it's obvious that many really do not want to vote for Bush again. Many are getting tired of him but are not quite in Kerry's camp.

Battleground states are looking good. Contrary to some fluke polls showing CA and NJ in play, Kerry is now leading in FL, OH, OR, and WI in certain polls. Granted the lead in FL is small (2-3%), but he's winning even with Nader factored in -- same goes with the other states. Nader may just be turning into a protest vote for some not very idealogical, disenchanted republicans.

This is no time to get overconfident or complacent though. I believe as many, that this administration will do anything to stay in power -- whether through Diebold, or proving a foreign government huge amounts of military and financial aid, to provide Osama by the convention. Barring that, Kerry will win, and I wouldn't be surprised if it were with 300+ electoral votes, and by 4-5% of the popular vote.

[opihimoimoi]

1. I'm on board with the KEEP POUNDING until dead tired, then pound some more

Keep hitting, shooting, working, whatever you can do to get these Pubs outta there. These guys have caused way too much damage already.

[TreasonousBastard]

2. I'm encouraged by Shrub's steady decline...

and hope it stays that way. Slow but steady movements mean a lot more than quick jumps.

Kerry's moving up very slightly, and not that many people have been really exposed to him. When the campaign gets into full swing, I imagine his numbers will go up a little faster. The convention should give him a boost, then a drop after the Republican convention, then a slow, steady rise again.

I hope he gives pissed off Republicans a reason to vote for him, or at least lets them feel comfortable staying home.

Nadir looks like he'll be on the Reform line in some states, and throw a huge monkey wrench into things. Gotta get those Nadir people back into the program.