Gallup Daily: Clinton Now at 47%, Obama at 45%

[BooScout]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/105040/Gallup-Daily-Clinton-Now-47-Obama-45.aspx

PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup Poll Daily election tracking from March 14-16 finds Hillary Clinton's bid for the 2008 Democratic nomination supported by 47% of national Democratic voters, and Barack Obama's candidacy favored by 45%.

[slinkerwink]

1. Margin of error 3%

[merwin]

4. Funny how margin of error becomes important when your candidate is behind.

Just for reference, I would be happy with either candidate... which leaves me sadly shaking my head at all of this infighting.

[yardwork]

29. If the margin of error is 3%, then they're statistically tied.

[BooScout]

5. Obama is down 5 % in 4 days.....

The shift is considered significant.........unless of course you are using Obama Math.:eyes:

[nickn777]

10. Of course it's not significant...

Obama led by 8 points nationally not too long ago....thats only a 10 point swing, well within the polls margin of error.

[SeaLyons]

24. ...

5% in 4 days, 10% in 8, 15% in 12 and so it will go.....

:thumbsup:

[rodeodance]

27. yes it is

[totodeinhere]

68. No it is not. The lead in the poll has been seesawing for some time.

Clinton has been up more than three points several times, and then Obama always comes back. Look for the lead in this poll to alternate several more times.

And in spite of all of the negative coverage that Obama has got over Wright, it's really something that he is till statistically tied. You would think that after all of this crap he would be down by 15 or 20 points.

[BigDDem]

53. Think it's really 50% to 45%?

[ElsewheresDaughter]

2. good deal

[Teaser]

3. yeah, it'll bounce around like this

Really, I don't know why both sides keep trumpeting their polls. It's all noise right now.

There will be no "collapse" by either candidate.

[anamandujano]

7. It'll be bouncing downward for Bama.

Anything else will be shocking, even to his supporters, who are presently feverish over the Wright situation.

[moobu2]

9. Yeah it’ll bounce around until he lands at around 28-30%

[Teaser]

19. Let's make a bet. $100.00 that he's up again in 2 weeks.

It only has to be a day. but I'm willing to bet you 100 bucks it's the case.

Care to take it?

will you put your money where your mouth is?

[moobu2]

25. To be honest, I thought about taking you up on it

but I cant take your money like that. Keep it you'll need it.

[Teaser]

30. "My hands are lethal weapons, man, I wouldn't want to hurt you"

heard that one before too.

[RunningFromCongress]

49. I don't need it, so you can make the bet w/ me $500

[goldcanyonaz]

6. OUTLIER!

I call foul.

:rofl:

[DJ13]

8. WHOOPIE!

Day upon day of the MSM trying to make Obama's church into a damaging issue and its only good for a 2% drop?

:rofl:

[OPERATIONMINDCRIME]

11. Wow. Based On The Historical Numbers, That's A REALLY Bad Sign For Him. He's Toast I Think.

Hehehe just kidding just kidding. Get your hands off the reply button.

:hide:

[slinkerwink]

12. did you hear he's giving a major speech on race

tomorrow?

[BooScout]

14. of course he is.....

:eyes:

[anamandujano]

16. Will he have that "Faith, Guidance for Voters" sign behind him?

We don't have minds; we need guidance.

[OPERATIONMINDCRIME]

17. What's Your Point?

[Teaser]

21. OMC was joking

Everybody needs to stop being trigger happy. I'm including myself in that.

[CakeGrrl]

23. How dare he respond to the slime tactics?

Who does he think he is trying to attack poor poor Hillary like that? Between this and asking her to stop hiding her financial information, he's just gone too far. :sarcasm:

[OPERATIONMINDCRIME]

65. self delete

[Orsino]

64. No, no. It's when he's AHEAD that his campaign is about to collapse!

A tie is good news--the haters don't know which way to break.

:D :hi:

[fjc]

13. Even if true, which I doubt

it's too late anyway. That Obama math is correct in one way. He's got more delegates. I can't see how Hillary is gonna overcome that without trashing the will of the voters.

[MonkeyFunk]

15. That unpossible!

I read that everybody hates her!

[rodeodance]

47. You must be reading DU--esp. gd-p.

[goldcanyonaz]

18. USA TODAY/Gallup Poll: Clinton up 5 points on McCain; Obama up 2

http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/03/usa-todaygallup.html

[still_one]

38. bullshit. That isn't reality. You haven't even seen the Clinton haters come out yet

and if she gets the nomination, when they do come out, with ads everyday bringing up the Clinton scandals of the ninties, via the MSM, it will make Kerry's swift boating look like childs play

enjoy the illusion while you can.

[rodeodance]

56. Playing the Rovian FEAR CARD IS so unbecoming. tsk tsk

[Texas Hill Country]

20. yeah, nice double standards in here from the obama supporters...

[Teaser]

22. Which Obama supporters?

Which ones are demonstrating this double standard?

[RoadRage]

26. You act like this is a good thing?

Mathmatically, Obama is going to win the Democratic Nominee.. so taking happiness from these downward spiral polls while your candidate continues to pointlessly beat up on Obama seems to make little sense. Unless you're a closet McCain supporter, and are really hoping he wins the general election. In that case, it would make sense.

[rodeodance]

28. ah --you can foresee the future. Which crystal ball you using?

[RoadRage]

43. The one with a calculator in it. NT

[rodeodance]

44. its energy source is dead.

[rodeodance]

31. Obama viewed favorably today by just 47%, down 5 since last Thursday.*****

Obama viewed favorably today by just 47%, down 5 since last Thursday.
Mon Mar-17-08 10:20 AM

The dialogue about Wright’s controversial comments appears to have had at least a short-term impact on public perceptions of Barack Obama. The Illinois Senator is viewed favorably today by just 47% of voters nationwide. That’s down five points since last Thursday (see recent daily results). The number with an unfavorable view of Obama has risen from 44% on Thursday to 50% today. Among White voters, Obama is now viewed favorably by 43% and unfavorably by 54%.

Looked at from a slightly longer perspective, Obama’s overall favorable ratings peaked at 56% on February 21, shortly after he won the Wisconsin Primary. At that point, Clinton began raising questions about Obama as part of the campaign that ultimately enabled her to win the Texas and Ohio Primaries. Since then, Obama’s net favorability ratings have fallen seventeen points (from plus 14 points on February 21 to minus 3 points today).

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[rodeodance]

32. "Obama’s net favorability ratings have fallen seventeen points" -since WI

[nickn777]

35. The whole argument about electability has....

completely vanished. There is absolutely no recent data, especially after Pastorgate, that suggests Obama is more electable than Clinton. In fact, I believe todays USA Today poll shows Clinton doing better against McCain.

[rodeodance]

39. I agree. --

[rodeodance]

33. and off to the GREATEST

[shawmut]

34. k&r

:kick:

[still_one]

36. if she gets the nomination, you will see the rehash of Bill Clinton's affairs.

and watch us lose because of that bagage in a major way in November

It is very hard for me to believe with all the baggage that the Clinton's have that she even ran for President

[rodeodance]

46. the news is ready to move on. they are no longer obsessed with Bills penis

[MonkeyFunk]

48. People don't care

they barely cared in the '90s.

It seems Obama supporters here are more obsessed with the topic than anyone else.

[rodeodance]

59. so many are obsessed with Bill's penis. Sick.

[wiggs]

37. Not relevant until the dust settles and a truer picture of Obama and his

church emerge. The rebuttal hasn't even happened yet. Once Wright fever is over and Wright isn't on TV 24 hours a day, those images will be replaced by ones that more effectively convey what Obama and his church are really like.

These poll trends will reverse, given time.

[rodeodance]

40. yeah yeah..

[tandem5]

41. At a national level they're tied - they've been tied for a month or so

its nothing more than noise that's causing them to trade the lead.

[MindMatter]

42. The problem is, Clinton cannot get over 47% and you need 51%

plus a Diebold factor. There is absolutely no scenario where Hillary can get over 50%. Her neagatives have been in the high 40s for 15 years and are not going to get any better.

The only people who have ruled out voting for Obama are about 10% of the country that are racist enough to make the KKK proud and a few arch conservative, but even some of them would vote for Obama because they have such contempt for McCain.

In other words, Obama has a potential pool of about 70% of the electorate, 30% of which is soft for him now. He has to win over 12% of that 30%.

Clinton has a potential pool of about 50% on a good day, and about 15% of that is soft. She has to shore up every bit of her soft support and then somehow get accepted by a set of voters who is dead set against her.

It will not work.

[LuvMyPorsche]

45. don't

count a Clinton out!!!!

[Beacool]

50. Great news, thanks!!! n/t

[avrdream]

51. Way cool.

[rodeodance]

52. k

[rodeodance]

54. REC and K for the gal.

[rodeodance]

55. k

[Rosa Luxemburg]

57. oh well when we see Hillary's tax records her poll will drop like a stone?

[rodeodance]

58. HA --that is boring

[DerekJ]

60. is that it?

Is that all this weeklong swiftboating can do? drop him back to where he was a week ago?

Pfffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffft

swiftboating attempt : FAILED

:rofl:

[Johnny__Motown]

61. Blip

[AJH032]

62. national polls do not matter

only the handful of states left do.

[against all enemies]

63. CNN poll has Obama up

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/03/17/poll.democrats/index.html

[Megahurtz]

67. Woo Hoo!

:bounce:

[Kahuna]

69. Yep. 52% Obama, 45% Clinton. nt

[finalnews]

66. What's the use of polling the whole country?

I don't get it. Most of the states voted already, yet Gallup and others keep conducting "national" polls. How about polling remaining states individually? It's more useful, and...is it that hard to do?

[rcsl1998]

70. .

[rcsl1998]

71. .