Mississippi Poll: Barack 46 Hillary 40 (from March 6th)

[ccpup]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ms/mississippi_democratic_primary-581.html

[saracat]

1. Neat.

[hueyshort]

18. Pretty good, considering the Race Shit he's trying to Stir up

starting with this little bomb
<http://cannonfire.blogspot.com/2008/03/kos-is-klown-or-why-did-obama-girl.html[br />

[skipos]

2. Too bad for Hillary. She needs to win every state by what, 25%?

She has a ways to go here.

[Hoof Hearted]

22. Just keep telling yourself that.

[BootinUp]

24. according to whom?

[joeybee12]

3. If she keeps it close, it's good...Obama has always been seen

to be the one to trounce her here.

[JackORoses]

11. he will trounce her. Tuesday is going to be fun.

[carlotta]

4. That's quite a rebound

Maybe Obama's negative ad backfired.

[Maddy McCall]

5. I voted absentee today!

I was the only one in the polling place. I was kinda shocked about that.

[joeybee12]

8. Good for you...Hilary's ahead, 1-0!!!!!!

[Little Star]

6. Ruh Row

[sueragingroz]

7. That's much closer than I expected.

[MadBadger]

9. Well you will be unpleasantly suprised then when Obama wins by twenty.

[ExtraGriz]

10. nice!!

i thought he was suppose to win big there...

[mrreowwr_kittty]

12. The weighting looks weird on that.

It looks like there are too many Republicans and not enough 18-29 year olds.

[bigtree]

13. kick

[Lucinda]

14. ...

[MadBadger]

15. What was that for?

[Steeler1623]

16. Same updated poll now shows Obama by 17

[Colobo]

19. Hehehehe... Gobama!

[HughMoran]

21. Yeah, that one is more realistic

Funny how the one 3 days earlier was so much different than the majority of other polls.

[Beacool]

17. Despite this poll,

I have little expectations that Hillary will do well in MS, neither does the campaign. The demographics are against her in that state, but not to worry, on to PA!!!!!

[AnarchoFreeThinker]

20. ummmm...why not show the most recent poll from the same pollster?

shows an Obama blowout, as you know.

[BootinUp]

23. thats pretty close. nt

[MadBadger]

No its not...same pollster has it at 17 points today.

[AtomicKitten]

25. Rasmussen: Obama - 53%; Clinton - 39%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/mississippi/mississippi_democratic_presidential_primary

[kennetha]

26. 55% of the people surveyed were AA

Wow! That's a massive % of the total. If AA's represent 55% of the turn-out in Miss, no doubt Hillary's goose is cooked. He's winning the AA vote 75.2 - 16.4 - 8.4. I assume the undecided AA's will mostly break for Obama.

But notice that Hillary is winning the white vote in this survey by 65.3 - 23.9 - 10.8. Assume the undecided's here will break for Hilary. Also, Hillary is winning independents and Repugnants by wide margins.

So this again looks like a pure turn-out contest. If Whites and independents and Repugnants turn out, Hillary could pull surprisingly close.

Also, with the way they have gerrymandered districts in many Southern states, this could even be another Alabama -- where Obama netted all of two pledged delegates, despite winning by 14% and roughly 80K votes.

[npincus]

27. too close- and factor in the Limpballs Army of Cross-overs

it's worrisome.