Obama's greatest ally is the desire among many SDs for this to be over

[Steeler1623]

I expect that most uncommitted superdelegates think both Hillary and Obama would be strong candidates. Hillary gets the plus of running strong in the rust belt and Appalachia, while Obama gets a plus for being more likeable in general and having greater appeal among independents. He's also done better in the vast majority of GE national polls. We could win with either.

But if you look at Hillary's victory scenario, it can not come until the convention at August, and it can not come without enormous conflict that will likely drive black turnout in November way down and send many independents running to John McCain.

Obama, by contrast, offers an early victory scenario. And that is for a gradual trickle of superdelegates to become a flood in the next several weeks, assuming he wins in Wyoming and Mississippi as everyone expects. I bet some superdelegates are a lot like me and are growing really weary of trying to digest this constant flood of polls, revoting scenarios, etc while John McCain just keeps on raising money for the general election while taking no criticism. Heck, Hillary is even praising him on a nightly basis.

If this scenario is going to happen, it will have to happen between Mississippi and Pennsylvania, or else Obama will have to pull an upset there. I think those dismissing the possibility of this scenario happening underestimate the concern among so many in the party about where this race is headed and just a basic tiredness of the whole thing. If Obama gets 25 superdelegates to commit after Mississippi, that could lead to even more SDs committing, and if some of Hillary's start to leave her then it could become a flood that she can't stop.

[Growler]

1. Dean needs to make some phone calls...

And just tell the undecided SDs to pick someone, anyone already! It doesn't matter whom they pick, just pick. The thing keeping this contest going isn't simply the remaining state races (which Obama will win the majority of) but the number of undecided SDs. If they all just pick someone in the next week, it will all shake out somehow, and this madness can end. People here like to snipe at one candidate or the other for "prolonging" this race, but how's about laying part of the blame where it belongs: at the feet of the uncommitted SDs? Seriously, how can anyone remain undecided at this point??

[Steeler1623]

2. Agree- if this drags on the party loses

[Growler]

3. Kick

[blm]

4. Supers don't want to have to spend all THEIR politicl capital defending Clintons as they had to

in the 90s and even after.

Preotecting the Clintons cost our party and the nation while the Clintons were betraying Democrats with their consistent protection of the Bushes.