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The ACTUAL percentages, and how to read CNN's exit polls.

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CitizenRob Donating Member (834 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 02:35 AM
Original message
The ACTUAL percentages, and how to read CNN's exit polls.
Okay, so the people saying 67% of dems voted for Hillary in Texass are wrong.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#TXDEM (go to page 4)

Here is how the numbers break down.

VOTE BY PARTY CLINTON OBAMA
DEMOCRAT 67% 54% 45%
REPUTRID 9% 47% 52%
INDiots 24% 49% 48%


So, how do you read these numbers?

The first column of percentages is the percent total for each party's registered voters voting on a Dem ticket. So 67% is actually the TOTAL number of dems voting on democratic ballots. 9% of dem ballots were voted on by Republicans, and 24% of dem ballots were voted on by independents.


Columns 2 and 3 are then the break down of the FIRST columns percentage. So of ALL the democrats who voted on a Dem ballot, 54% voted for Clinton, and 45% for Obama (a clear victory.) Of the Republicans who voted on Dem ballots 47% voted for Clinton and 52% for Obama. Independents of which 24% of Dem ballots voted 49% clinton, and 48% obama.

THAT is how you read those numbers.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 02:36 AM
Response to Original message
1. That 's amazing that she won independents. (in the exit poll)
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 02:39 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. wow, yeah
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CitizenRob Donating Member (834 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 02:43 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. By 1%, Independents are really split.
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jsamuel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 02:45 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. but that is a contrast to every other state recently
he has been winning them like 60-40 at least
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LisaL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 02:46 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. So, in fact, all those claims that Obama and Obama only
will bring in independents don't seem to hold true. At least in OH.
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CitizenRob Donating Member (834 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 02:48 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. That was texas.
I haven't seen the OH numbers.
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LisaL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-05-08 02:49 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. O'key. At least for Texas. It's very late.
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