Polling trends in Ohio and Pennsylvania.

[Buzz Clik]

The trends have not been updated for a few days.

The old trends are clear enough, but the pollsters are getting a tad too conservative after getting burned in New Hampshire. As for me, my learning curve is much flatter than that -- screw past experience, let's interpret with our hearts and not our heads!

"***Newsflash!*** Amateur pollster Buzz Clik calls Ohio a statistical tie, and Pennsylvania is trending strongly to Obama."






You heard it here first...

[Buzz Clik]

1. Oh, and here's North Carolina.

I didn't mess with those trends -- didn't have to. :hippie:


and the national trends...

[MadAndy]

2. Notice that Clinton's numbers dont change. That must mean

huge numbers of undecided are jumping on the Barack bandwagon. Its a nightmare scenario for the clintons.

[TexasObserver]

3. Hillary peaked in October and has been flat lining since. She's now falling.

Her campaign peaked 5 months ago, and wasn't enough to win even then.

The end is near, thankfully.

[Buzz Clik]

4. I envision late nights at campaign headquarters going something like this:

One of the bigwigs (Hillary herself?) is clutching the graph showing the latest national polling trends and pacing around the room. "People, what the hell is going on? This was our destiny, and now look! We're leading only in Ohio and Pennsylvania, we're tied in Texas, and trailing in every other state. And nationallly ... dammit! Don't get me started about the national numbers. Obama's numbers look like the vapor trail of the space shuttle, and we're stuck in the tunnel to nowhere! What am I paying you people for? What is happening? SOMEBODY GET SOME IDEAS AND GET THEM TODAY OR WE'RE ALL SLEEPING ON THE STREET COME NEXT TUESDAY!!!!"


:scared: :nuke: :scared:

[TexasObserver]

5. The Caine Mutiny is what they're living at campaign HQ.

madness

[cali]

6. New Rasmussen Ohio Poll: Barack only 5 pts back- up 3 pts from last week

Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary
Clinton Lead Slipping in Ohio
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
Advertisment
With just a week to go until the crucial March 4 Democratic Presidential Primaries, Barack Obama continues to gain ground on Hillary Clinton in Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll shows Clinton earning 48% of the Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary vote. That’s unchanged from a week ago. Barack Obama’s support has grown to 43%. That’s up from 40% last week and 38% the week before.

Overall, Clinton’s lead is now just five percentage points in Ohio, down from an eight-point advantage last week and fourteen points two weeks ago.

Just 16% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters believe the North American Free Trade Agreement—NAFTA—is good for America. Fifty-five percent (55%) say the trade agreement negotiated by the Clinton Administration is bad for the nation.

snip

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/ohio_democratic_presidential_primary

[Buzz Clik]

7. Are you suggesting that Senator Clinton supports NAFTA? Shame on you!

shame shame shame!

[Buzz Clik]

8. Kick! Kick! New Texas data:

Posted just hours ago:



This shows Obama with the lead in Texas.

Oy.

[Buzz Clik]

9. New data for Pennsylvania:

Here's the new data:





And my trend line from earlier this week:





They are reluctantly drawing their trend lines near my line, but they simply refuse to accept the true slope of these trends.

Not much doubt: Pennsylvania is now a statistical tie

[TexasObserver]

10. Yep, it's all good. Going, going, gone!!