ABC/WP POLL: Clinton Up in Ohio, Dead Heat in Texas

[RamboLiberal]

Trailing in perceived electability, Hillary Clinton is running in a dead heat with Barack Obama in the Texas Democratic primary and holds a single-digit lead in Ohio, lifted there by lunch-bucket voters and party regulars.

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Differing demographic and political profiles in Texas and Ohio change pieces of the puzzle — but both contests look close, with more than enough moveable voters to tip the balance either way.

With about two weeks until the primary, this ABC News/Washington Post poll finds a 48-47 percent Clinton-Obama race among likely voters in Texas, and 50-43 percent in Ohio.

A quarter in Texas, and a third in Ohio, say they could change their minds or are undecided.

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Obama beats Clinton in the perception that he's got the best chance of winning in November by 47-36 percent in Texas and 48-37 percent in Ohio.

http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Vote2008/story?id=4324869&page=1

[Thrill]

1. WOW only 7 points in OH? wow just wow

She might act like a maniac tonight

[Iktomiwicasa]

3. I hope she doesn't start

flinging the poop.

[knowledgeispwr]

14. Though that may have helped Obama in Wisconsin

:shrug:

[Iktomiwicasa]

33. maybe

but I'd hope for some dignified behavior. After all, these choices being made right now are of the utmost importance.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. I'm Sure You Can Speak To Mania From Personal Experience

~

[cali]

2. Obama has made great strides in both states

It's great that he's only 7 back in Ohio.

[Yurem2008]

8. Ay mamacita

TX and OH leaning Obama

[AtomicKitten]

5. Obama is systematically closing the gap.

[Kukesa]

16. And has yet to visit the southern part of Ohio.

He's due here this weekend -- after a stop in Akron on Saturday, he'll be on his way to Cinci and Dayton.

[AtomicKitten]

19. Are you going to see him?

I saw him here in SF in a crowd of 5-6K. I can hardly imagine the chaos of a 20,000 person audience!

[Kukesa]

38. I hope to. I voted, absentee, on President's Day! n/t

[Radical Activist]

6. If trends from other states continue then Obama will win both.

He has been finishing well ahead of all polls taken a week or more before the election.

[MadBadger]

7. Can we officially call TX tied now?

[Nederland]

20. No

...but pretty soon I think it won't "count".

[Pirate Smile]

32. A Texas voter on another blog posted that they couldn't wait to become "insignificant".

My thought - joint the club! :D

[RamboLiberal]

23. Obama could easily get more delegates than Hillary from TX

because of their rules and the greater turnout in African-American districts in the '04 and '06 elections.

[Barack_America]

9. What's wrong with Texas, don't they want to matter?

I really wish that somebody would make a "United States that Matter" map like the "United States of Canada" map we saw back in 2004.

Anybody here have the requisite graphics skills?

[scheming daemons]

27. As a western Pennsylvanian, I already feel that Ohio and WV don't matter....

;-)

[Hieronymus]

10. Experts have said that Hillary will have to win both by large margins to ..

secure the nomination.

[Thrill]

11. What happens if she actually jumps across the table

and chokes Obama tonight?

What would the headlines be?

[Yurem2008]

13. They'll say Hillary is taking things into her own hands

[Thrill]

17. LMAO

good one

[GOPBasher]

18. LOL! n/t

[Nederland]

22. Nice (nt)

[FiveGoodMen]

21. They'll say it was sexist of Obama to put his neck where she could reach it.

[tekisui]

28. Hillary finall chokes...Obama?

[tekisui]

29. dupe

[BringBigDogBack]

12. Excellent, excellent, excellent.

K&R

[book_worm]

15. Those Ohio numbers for Obama are pretty good.

[JimGinPA]

24. I Believe The Polls Will Swing Toward Obama More Every Day...

Voters just like him more when they learn more about him.

[Arugula Latte]

26. It's good to remember that most of us who obsess over politics

have been "decided" on our candidate for a long time (or at least had a back-up if our #1 dropped out), but many of these voters are just starting to think about this. It's entering their radar screens that there is a better alternative to Hillary "Name Recognition" Clinton.

[Alhena]

25. Hillary's 59-36 lead among Hispanics isn't enough ... she needs 62.5%

of the vote in the 4-delegate Rio Grande Valley districts to avoid a 2-2 delegate split with Obama. And of course some non-Hispanics will vote even in those districts, so she'd need (I guess) about 68-70% support among Hispanics to feel good about getting a 3-1 delegate split in those districts.

[Quixote1818]

30. She can't just win by a small margin in Texas. She has to win big or it's over.

If they basically split the delegates in Texas there is no way she can come back.

[Obamaniac]

31. This is the end...my only friend, the end.

Bye, bye Hillary.

Obama's organization alone will make up seven points in Ohio. Texas is already ours.

[loveangelc]

34. I hope he does well in the debates tonight

[COFoothills]

35. I'm just so happy...

... that the voters throughout the country have figured out that Obama is the way to victory in November before it was too late and we were stuck with a losing ticket for the general.

[LordJFT]

36. bye-bye Hillary

[OhioChick]

37. Local News Here Said

That Hillary's Numbers are Dropping in OH. That was this AM.

[grantcart]

39. Well this is starting to look like a slaughter

Obama beats Clinton in the perception that he's got the best chance of winning in November by 47-36 percent in Texas and 48-37 percent in Ohio.