I Hope Kerry's Behind Bush In Oct (Seriously)

[liberalpragmatist]

Kerry always does best coming from behind. I hope to get a big bounce from the convention, then likely see Bush lead after the Repub convention. I hope Bush is leading by abt 5 to 10 pts going into October, b/c Kerry has shown in all his races that he does best coming from behind but is an uneasy frontrunner.

In every tough race Kerry's had - his '84 senate primary, his '96 reelection bid, the iowa caucuses this yr, Kerry has come out swinging at the end, and getting the last laugh after being left for dead.

I know it's a risky thing to wish for, but I seriously will be worried if Kerry has a large lead a month before - i want to see him pick up momentum in the last couple weeks and end up scoring an "upset" win by abt 5 or 6 pts and 100 or so electoral college votes.

[goclark]

1. I want him way way ahead from now until Nov,

Remember that at least 20% of the votes will be destroyed.

[David Dunham]

2. In Sept., Bush will lead by 10 , then JK will fight back and win

Bushn will have a big but temporary lead after Repug convention, but Kerry will fight back and win.

[JI7]

3. the debates will be THE deciding factor

in my opinion. also, we can't get our hopes up because the whores consider bush to have won the debates if he doesn't fuck up too much. and standards for bush are very low.

[eileen from OH]

4. HMM, could be

But I'm thinking it will be the October Surprise of a Bin Laden Capture. That's why the Dems have to keep hammering away at the idea of this kind of "surprise". So that when it happens, a lot of people will realize it was all a sham and have an "AH-HA" moment.

eileen from OH