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That's just amazing. First one to, say, -20 (110 more for Obama, 245 for Hillary) wins. Especially if the ratios are maintained at the current level.
That would be my proposal to the Gang of Five.
Otherwise, I'm pretty sure Obama goes to Denver with something like a 200 delegate lead in pledged, and a 80 delegate lead with the Super Delegates thrown in (given that they continue to break about what they have been).
And then we have the fight over MI and FL and all the other shit. And the Credentials committee (it was announced today) will be chaired by three people, all previous Clinton appointees. That committee can decide if MI or FL are seated. Membership in that committee (of the pledged delegates) has not been announced, but since it will be proportional to the convention pledged delegates, but only has something like 168 members, one can imagine a 10 to 20 voting margin for Obama on the committee. And that might be narrow enough for the Clintons to overturn (either by poaching or by use of supers that are on the committee). After FL and MI, then the pledged + supers become very very close. And we enter a brokered convention... or worse, a deadlock.
That's why I think an intervention is needed before all that happens. I don't know if Gore and the Gang of Five can even get the Supers to all agree to the intervention, but I think they will try (first they will try to convince one candidate or the other to gracefully drop out... which I just don't see happening, even with double digit loses by the Clinton campaign in the last few outings).
Oh well... thanks so much for doing the math. I can hardly see my screen right now.
Bed is calling my name.
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