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Edited on Mon Feb-18-08 02:10 AM by TexasObserver
31 Senatorial districts
2-7 national delegates per district
Proportional division of delegates in each
low delegates in Hispanic districts
High delegates in black districts
young Hispanics for Obama
more young Hispanics than older Hispanics who can vote
85% black vote for Obama
split vote for whites
split vote for Hispanics
cross over Republicans for Obama
Indies for Obama
Polls use the "likely voter" measure that looks backwards for guidance, not to the present
young people are hard to poll and don't use land lines
Polls over sample older voters, under sample younger voters
Here's the breakdown on the 31 Senate Districts and the number of National delegates each gets:
• 126 district delegates are to be allocated proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the State's 31 state senatorial districts (each senatorial district being assigned 2 to 7 National Convention delegates based on how well each district had supported the Democratic nominee for President in 2000 and Governor in 2002). • SD 31: 2 delegates • SDs 6, 7, 8, 9, 24, 28: 3 delegates each • SDs 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 11, 12, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 22, 25, 27, 29, 30: 4 delegates each • SDs 10, 20, 21, 26: 5 delegates each • SDs 14, 23: 6 delegates each • SD 13: 7 delegates In addition, precinct conventions are to be convened no earlier than 7:15 P.M. local time the day of the presidential primary (the polls will have closed in Texas at 7 P.M.) to begin the process of choosing the delegates to County and Senate District Conventions
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Saturday 29 March 2008: Tier 2. County and Senate District Conventions select delegates to State Convention. -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday 6 June - Saturday 7 June 2008: Tier 3. State Convention. The State Convention will choose the remaining 67 pledged delegates. A mandatory 15 percent threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be allocated National Convention delegates at the statewide level. • 67 delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the presidential preference of the delegates at the State Convention as a whole. • 42 at-large National Convention delegates (included in the 67) • 25 Pledged PLEOs (included in the 67)
The remaining 35 National Convention delegates consist of • 32 Unpledged PLEO delegates: • 17 Democratic National Committee members. • 13 Members of Congress (0 Senators and 13 Representatives). • 0 Governors. • 2 Distinguished Party Leaders (former House Speaker James C. Wright, Jr., former DNC chairman Robert Schwarz "Bob" Strauss). • 3 Unpledged "add-on"s (elected at the state convention). These 35 delegates and will go to the Democratic National Convention officially "Unpledged"
-------------------------------------------------------- PLEOs = "Party Leaders and Elected Officials"
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