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Here We Go Boys and Girls: 4 Most Recent Texas Polls (They are all Over the board)

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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 11:48 AM
Original message
Here We Go Boys and Girls: 4 Most Recent Texas Polls (They are all Over the board)
Texas Credit Union League Poll of 400 likely voters

Clinton leads Obama 49-41

http://www.tcul.coop/sites/25043ee8-a7e7-4aeb-8304-a91b5e7553c9/uploads/Texas_Credit_Union_League_Primary_Poll_2008.pdf

Rasmussen Texas

Clinton Leads Obama 54-38

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/texas/texas_democratic_presidential_primary

ARG Texas

Obama Leads clinton 48-42

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

Insider Advantage Texas

Clinton Leads Obama 48-41

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_215_220.aspx


I think its most likely that the lead sits around 8-11 points, but that is just me.
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liberal N proud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 11:50 AM
Response to Original message
1. They want to marginalize any polling including exit polls
Makes it harder to verify with an election is stolen.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 11:50 AM
Response to Original message
2. All these polls are irrelevant until Obama hits Texas
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 11:51 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. I agree with you.
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spotbird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 11:51 AM
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4. Are there any trend lines? nt
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GodlessBiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 11:51 AM
Response to Original message
5. I think she most likely has a 7 point lead now, but that's just me talkin'.
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Independent-Voter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 11:56 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. that sounds reasonable , 7-10% for HRC, trending down
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dchill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 12:02 PM
Response to Original message
7. Is it just me, or does it seem...
that the more computerized voting devices there are, the less accurate the polls turn out to be?
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 12:05 PM
Response to Original message
8. I suggest that this favors Obama.
The large errors show that Clinton's lead is essentially nonexistant. Given Obama's momentum, money and campaign successes in the last two batches of states implies he could take Texas.
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Tatiana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 12:08 PM
Response to Original message
9. I like the 7-8 point spread. That seems realistic.
By the end of the month, it will narrow to nearly dead even.
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RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 12:15 PM
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10. Looks pretty good....
I am glad Obama is within striking distance and the polls will narrow once he hits the ground. Once he show's up - shift happens!

Thanks for sharing these. :hi:
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ericgtr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-15-08 12:17 PM
Response to Original message
11. I think we will see a major shift towards him after Wisconsin
until then I don't think there will be much change.
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