New Zogby Poll: Obama MUCH stronger than Clinton in general election.

[RBInMaine]

Zogby Poll: Obama Cruises in Election Match-Ups against McCain, Huckabee

Clinton lags, losing to McCain and barely leading Huckabee


Barack Obama has gained strength in prospective general election match-ups against Republicans John McCain and Mike Huckabee, while Hillary Clinton does not fare as well, a new nationwide Zogby Interactive poll shows.


The online survey shows that Obama would defeat both McCain and Huckabee, while Clinton would lose to McCain and only defeat Huckabee by a small margin.


Clinton struggles among political independents, trailing McCain by a wide margin and Huckabee by a slim margin in that demographic, the survey shows. Against both men, she wins less than 80% of her own party. However, she does better among Democrats than either McCain or Huckabee does among Republicans. Huckabee wins just 70% support in a match-up against Clinton, while McCain wins 72% of the GOP support against her.


Obama has much stronger Democratic Party support, winning 87% backing of the Democrats when pitted against Huckabee, and 84% of the Democratic support against McCain. Among independents, Obama leads McCain by a 46% to 33% edge and Huckabee by a 48% to 31% advantage.

By the Numbers:

McCain
42%

Clinton
37%

Someone else/Not sure
21%



McCain
36%

Obama
47%

Someone else/Not sure
17%



Huckabee
37%

Clinton
40%

Someone else/Not sure
22%



Huckabee
34%

Obama
49%

Someone else/Not sure
17%



Among men, Obama narrowly loses to McCain but narrowly leads Huckabee. Among women, he leads both Republicans by margins that are wider than the advantage Clinton enjoys over McCain and Huckabee. However, Clinton loses to both McCain and Huckabee among men.

Obama held wides leads over the GOPers among younger voters. Among older voters, Obama held a narrow lead over Huckabee, but trailed McCain. Clinton led Huckabee and McCain among younger voters, but trailed them both among voters age 65 and older.

The online survey included 7,468 likely voters nationwide. It was conducted Feb. 8-11, 2008, and carries a margin of error of +/- 1.2 percentage points.

For a complete methodological statement on this survey, please visit:

http://www.zogby.com/methodology/readmeth.dbm?ID=1274

[LoZoccolo]

1. Thank you. Now everybody knows who to vote for. n/t

[usregimechange]

4. Precisely but that is only part of it, he would make a better more progressive president

[jasmine621]

10. Zogby has been so wrong you can dismiss this poll. nt

[Nexus7]

14. I surprised people still have the time of day for Zogby

He's been wrong repeatedly and perversely, by double digits, in the primaries, and before.

[goldcanyonaz]

2. That's a hell of a lot of undecideds.

[libertee]

3. Looking forward to their poll about March 15th.

[billbuckhead]

6. Zogby poll? They're still in business?

[joeybee12]

5. Before posting crap like this, please do a search on Zogby n/t

[WilyWondr]

15. What poll would you like?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national.html

NPR's poll is the only one that has Mccain ahead of Obama by 1%
AP-Ipsos and CNN are the only ones that have HRC ahead of Mccain by 1-3%.



or are they all crap?

[griffi94]

7. sweet

of course i'm still voting for hillary in the primary next month..... and in nov i'll vote for whoever is not obama....

[Alhena]

16. Great! And as you can see from the poll, your little vote won't matter ...

as it will pale in comparison to the tens of millions who DO vote for Obama.

[Johnny__Motown]

8. Clinton and Huckabee in a virtual tie. OMG that pretty much says it all

[TexasObserver]

13. Both have strong followings with religious fervor.

His are evangelics. Hers worship her.

[RoadRage]

9. Zogby polls are only good if they show Clinton in the lead.. DUH! :)

[LisaL]

11. Oh gimme a break.

When Obama is trailing Hillary by double digits in OH and PA which are not that long away, his supporters claim that he will close the gap in no time. But I am supposed to take into account some general election poll, and think it means something? Right.

[suston96]

12. Sorry, polls on such far off events are meaningless and are intended to affect pending primaries..nt

[Freida5]

17. Just like Zogby predicted California for Obama by 10%

[cooolandrew]

18. All we need now is to convince the Ron Pauler's it looks like. I don't relish that part. He will win

...but I want him to win big. I'll work on ideas to win them over.

[elixir]

19. Zogby's polls are seriously skewed towards Obama. He was way off in NH.

[rodeodance]

21. yes, see the post below you.

[Yossariant]

20. LOL! James Zogby, political analyst for Zogby, is an Obama superdelegate.

Zogby had Obama up by 13 on the day of the NH and CA primaries.

Ya gotta subtract at least 13 from every Obama number.

:rofl:

[VotesForWomen]

22. meaningless. the two candidates haven't even faced each other yet. nt

[fujiyama]

23. The numbers sort of reflect what other polls are saying

but this said "online survey". Kinda skeptical as to how credible it is.

Plus, Zogby has had a few real bad misses this primary season.

Neither Hillary nor Obama will have an easy time with McCain. But Hillary will not get the indie vote against him.