RASMUSSEN National Poll: Obama Takes Double Digit Lead: Obama 49% to Clinton 37% - O has 5%+ w/women

[truthpusher]

Obama Takes Double Digit Lead: Obama 49% to Clinton 37%; Obama leads among women 46% to 41%...

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Thursday, February 14, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama opening a double-digit lead over Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Today’s results show Obama earning support from 49% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters while Clinton attracts 37% (see recent daily numbers). Perhaps the most stunning aspect of the Obama surge is that he now leads 46% to 41% among women. Clinton retains a lead among the narrower subset of white women, but her lead in that vital demographic is down to just three percentage points.

Obama now leads 47% to 44% among white voters and 69% to 10% among African-American voters. Rasmussen Markets data now shows Obama to be a solid favorite to win the nomination. However, while the national data is all moving in Obama’s direction, new state polling data shows Clinton is competitive in Wisconsin’s Primary next Tuesday and holds a significant lead in Ohio’s contest scheduled for March 4.

Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. The next Presidential Tracking Poll update is scheduled for Friday at 11:00 a.m.

[HeraldSquare212]

1. Wow.

[TwilightGardener]

2. Holy shit.

[NJSecularist]

3. It's a good thing, but in the grand scheme it means jack shit...

unless they took larger than expected samples from Ohio, Wisconsin and Texas.

We don't have any national primaries any more.

[Alhena]

4. Not true- it helps with superdelegates

if a superdelegate can look at polls and see Obama has more support nationally in our party, that could be persuasive.

[Independent-Voter]

5. and yet, Ohio will fuck things up again for you guys

If Ohio, Texas, and Penn all go for Hillary and she scams enough superdelegates to get the nomination, go ahead and mail in the GE to McCain. I'm telling you, the middle can't stand her, and sure as hell will not vote for her.

[K Gardner]

6. Welcome to DU, Independent Voter ! Agree with your assessment.

[Hepburn]

7. Hi, Indie Voter, and welcome.

I, too, agree with your analysis. IMO, the Dems are totally fucked if Hillary is the nominee.

<sigh>

[truthpusher]

8. Not sure if this is the Ohio poll - that was 51 - 37 Obama.... this may be national? will post...

...when I have more info

[truthpusher]

9. another poll now shows H up 55-34 in Ohio?

[krkaufman]

12. pollster.com trend graphs all show double-digit leads for Hillary ...

... in OH, TX & PA, plus only a recent overtaking of her by Obama in WI, so that one's not anything like a lock.

It's gonna be rough.

[AnarchoFreeThinker]

11. bingo

[Thepricebreaker]

15. Wrong.. she has to win them by HUGE margins.. Its not winner take all!

[Dems Will Win]

18. TX is 29% caucus and Obama will win TX in the end

THe primary election ends on March 5th because she is not taking TX.

Woot!

[Nedsdag]

10. WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

WOO-HOO!!!!!

:bounce: :woohoo:

[ShortnFiery]

13. Sweet.

:-)

[Perky]

14. Here is the trqcking detaill the rest of the week will tell id this is an outlier or not

Date ….. Clinton ….. Obama
2/14/2008 ….. 37% ….. 49%
2/13/2008 ….. 41% ….. 46%
2/12/2008 ….. 44% ….. 42%
2/11/2008 ….. 46% ….. 41%
2/10/2008 ….. 49% ….. 41%
2/9/2008 ….. 48% ….. 42%
2/8/2008 ….. 47% ….. 43%
2/7/2008 ….. 44% ….. 44%
2/6/2008 ….. 46% ….. 42%
2/5/2008 ….. 47% ….. 40%
2/4/2008 ….. 46% ….. 40%
2/3/2008 ….. 49% ….. 38%
2/2/2008 ….. 45% ….. 37%
2/1/2008 ….. 43% ….. 37%
1/31/2008 ….. 42% ….. 35%
1/30/2008 ….. 41% ….. 32%
1/29/2008 ….. 41% ….. 32%
1/28/2008 ….. 39% ….. 31%
1/27/2008 ….. 40% ….. 31%
1/26/2008 ….. 36% ….. 33%
1/25/2008 ….. 41% ….. 30%
1/24/2008 ….. 42% ….. 30%
1/23/2008 ….. 42% ….. 30%
1/22/2008 ….. 42% ….. 31%
1/21/2008 ….. 41% ….. 32%
1/20/2008 ….. 38% ….. 34%
1/19/2008 ….. 38% ….. 32%
1/18/2008 ….. 38% ….. 31%
1/17/2008 ….. 37% ….. 30%
1/16/2008 ….. 37% ….. 29%
1/15/2008 ….. 37% ….. 30%
1/14/2008 ….. 38% ….. 34%
1/13/2008 ….. 40% ….. 36%
1/12/2008 ….. 39% ….. 35%
1/11/2008 ….. 35% ….. 33%
1/10/2008 ….. 34% ….. 33%
1/9/2008 ….. 32% ….. 31%
1/8/2008 ….. 32% ….. 29%
1/7/2008 ….. 33% ….. 29%
1/6/2008 ….. 36% ….. 25%
1/5/2008 ….. 38% ….. 25%
1/4/2008 ….. 38% ….. 26%
1/3/2008 ….. 41% ….. 24%

[TalkAgain]

16. Awesome!

[NoBorders]

17. Also: McCain leads Clinton 48% to 41%. Obama leads McCain 46% to 42% n/t