Net gain of 36 delegates projected for Obama today

[jackson_dem]

An interesting new automated survey from Constituent Dynamics and RT Strategies uses a new methodology to model the allocation of delegates in today's Potomac primaries. Overall results:

Maryland: Obama 53%, Clinton 36%

Virginia: Obama 51%, Clinton 34%

District of Columbia: Obama 63%, Clinton 27%

Bottom line: Based on individual performance within congressional districts, Obama will see a net increase of 32 delegates in his totals tonight.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/02/12/survey_predicts_delegates_totals_today.html

[thevoiceofreason]

1. Where are the missing 11-15% in each race?

Interesting

[Renew Deal]

2. And how did we go from 36 to 32?

:shrug:

[Spider Jerusalem]

3. Voting for John Edwards or Mike Gravel, probably

presence of other names on the ballot and the number of people who'll vote 'NONE' because they don't like the choices on offer means the totals for the leading candidates aren't going to be 100%.

[jackson_dem]

4. Undecided

I presume the firm is assuming they will break roughly on the same lines as decided voters.

[Occam Bandage]

5. That would be great.