MD POLL: Obama 55, Hillary 37; VA POLL: Obama 56, Hillary 38... And these are ARG Polls!

[jefferson_dem]

February 11, 2008 - Maryland and Virginia Primary Preferences

Democrats MD VA

Clinton 37% 38%
Obama 55% 56%
Someone else 2% 2%
Undecided 6% 4%

In Maryland, Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton among men 57% to 34% (43% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads Clinton among women 54% to 40%. Clinton leads Obama among white voters 49% to 41% (60% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 79% to 17% (37% of likely Democratic primary voters). 14% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary and 23% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary.

In Virginia, Obama leads Clinton among men 59% to 35% (45% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads Clinton among women 53% to 40%. Among white voters (67% of likely Democratic primary voters), Clinton is at 47% and Obama is at 45%. Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 82% to 16%. 17% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Clinton in the primary and 15% say they would never vote for Obama in the primary.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

[Bullet1987]

1. I firmly believe Obama sweeps tomarrow.

[Avalux]

2. Not just sweep but wins big keeping Hillary under 40 percent yet again.

:bounce:

[Yossariant]

3. Me, too, and it still won't be enough.

[Carolina]

4. I sure hope so!

[alcibiades_mystery]

11. You "firmly believe" in a future contingent event?

That's strange.

[rocktivity]

5. Get thee behind me, polls!

UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!!



x(
rocknation

[Alexander]

6. But those states don't count!

Didn't you get the memo?

:rofl:

[jefferson_dem]

9. The Hillary Camp is determined to whittle the good old USA back to 13 states.

...

Nobody is buying their bs anymore.

[slick8790]

7. ARGH! ARG!

Haven't they been FAMOUSLY unreliable? I mean they look good...but I guess we'll see.

[earthlover]

12. More than one poll has VA firmly in obama's grasp

On a lighter note...hillary could not attend a rally in Roanoke VA because the high winds prevented her plane from landing. Maybe this could be her new theme: Hillary--gone with the wind!

[Bucky]

8. These are great. But Ohio is still the big one

It's hell on a Texan admitting this, but Ohio is the state that'll determine our nominee.

[earthlover]

13. So...the other 49 don't count?

Texas and Ohio are going to be Hillary's Last Stand.

Unless she wins big in both, she is absolutely TOAST and everyone knows it.

She does have and advantage to win these states, but with proportional selection of delegates she won't get enough delegates unless she wins BIG/HUGE/LANDSLIDE. I don't see it being a landslide in either state....maybe 60/40 but probably 55/45... that won't make a huge dent in the delegates.

If it is closer than that, anyone thinking of a hillary nomination is blowing smoke. Even if she wins TX and OH and PA, she would be lucky to win enough delegates if Obama sweeps until then. Not to mention that if Obama continues his winning ways, it will make a dent in TX, OH, and PA.

Obama has the momentum, he has an army of small contributors.

It is going to be close. But I would say the odds are 60/40 for Obama.

[Occam Bandage]

14. It's "the big one" because Hillary is leading. Transparent as hell. If Obama pulls ahead,

Texas will become the big one. Or PA. If he wins the nomination, 2008 will be meaningless, and 2012 will be the big one.

[TwilightGardener]

10. I don't trust polls anymore. No faith in them. Will wait and see.