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The biggest myth of 2008 is that Hillary Clinton can win because she has, in her and her supporters words: "Been tested" and has overcome all they've thrown at her.
How, exactly has she been tested? And what has she done to prove she's been able to overcome it?
She got put in charge of reforming health care in the first few years of her husband's administration. A position to which she was neither qualified for, nor accountable to any government oversight committee because she wasn't an appointed-member of the president's administration.
She failed to accomplish her goals with that, and then upon facing that failure, receded to the background for the rest of her husband's term, assuming a more traditional First Lady role. She was never put in charge of any other major initiatives afterwords.
Then she was faced with a more personal test, her husband's infidelity. It's impossible to say that she was able to overcome that, because your reaction to her reaction to that event says as much about you as it does her. Was she right to stick with her husband? Would you have done the same to a cheating spouse? Or would you have packed up and left?
There's no right or wrong way to handle that situation. So there's no way to accurately judge whether her sticking with him was an example of her overcoming a test. People would say she overcame that test no matter what she decided to do in that instance.
Then after her role as First Lady was finished, she ran for senator in one of the top-3 states in the union. A position to which, again, she was not qualified for because she had no legislative experience. She had a name, sure, and that no doubt helped her.
She faced a powerful opponent - Rudy Guliani - which would have been a true test of her abilities as a campaigner and a politician.
Unfortunately, Guliani got diagnosed with prostate cancer and had to drop out. In his stead rose Rick Lazio, an affable, if entirely overmatched lightweight congressman from Long Island who neither had the funds, time, nor the name recognition to mount a serious challenge to her. Even in that, he still ended up winning Long Island, the only place he was known, and the only parts of the state where Clinton didn't have victories.
Then in 2006 she ran for re-election against an even more overmatched opponent John Spencer, a person who nobody outside of Yonkers had ever heard of.
A year later, she's running for the presidency, having never faced an opponent who seriously challenged her.
Until now.
And her opponent is a guy most of the country had never heard of before this year. A black guy with a muslim-sounding name who runs a campaign completely unlike any campaign she or her husband ever faced before.
She had the backing of the party establishment. She had the big donors. She had the air of inevitability. National polls put her 20, 30, 40 points ahead. She had the backing of the most respected and powerful person in the party - her husband - who had unlimited time to donate to her campaign.
She had everything going her way.
And then Iowa happened and that just screwed everything up.
Ever since then, her campaign has been a series of stops and starts, rise a little here, fall a little there, win big over here, lose big over there. Do well with women. Do poorly with men. Do well with hispanics. Do poorly with blacks. Win the old. Lose the young. Do well with die-hard democrats, do poorly with independents.
To say that her track record after getting tested is complete success would be a rather large exaggeration, if not an outright untruth.
Look what happened. Someone not completely incompetent challenged her, and has put her back on her heels.
If that points to Hillary's claim that she's been tested, then it doesn't bode well should she squeak by a race where all the voters were mostly favorable to her, personally. What is she going to do in a race against someone where she has to expand her reach beyond the sea of Democratic voters?
Tested? She hasn't even picked up her pencil yet.
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