The Midwestern Strategy.

[coloradodem2005]

As a follow up to my Southwestern strategy statement. The Democrats can take the Midwest with the exception of Indiana. Pennsylvania is ours and Ohio and West Virginia are pissed at Bush. Missouri went to Clinton Both times. We need to make sure that Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan stay in our column. Zell out Miller said the Democrats were no longer a National Party because they cannot take the South. Well Zell, the Republicans barely held NH, and suck in the Northeast. THey don't win the West Coast and now the Democrats are poised to take the midwest and southwest away. THe only states Republicans will win in those areas are Indiana and Utah. So it would seem the Republicans are not a national party either.

[no name no slogan]

1. My thoughts EXACTLY

I've been thinking this for quite some time now, as have many others by the looks of it.

If we concentrate on ECONOMIC issues (vs social issues), the midwest is ours for the taking. Yes, civil unions/gay marriage are important, but even the most socially conservative unemployed person is more worried about jobs and the economy than what "Adam and Steve" are up to.

IMHO it's a crying shame that we even have solid, blue-collar states like OH up for grabs in this day and age-- this is our NATURAL constituency that the pro-business policies of the DLC have driven out of the party.

If we can win all Gore's 2000 states (excluding FL) AND win OH, we'll have a margin that is nearly unbeatable. IMHO it's safe to say that NOBODY who voted for Gore in 2000 is going to vote for El Arbusto in 2004-- not even if hell becomes a Frigidaire dealership.

John Kerry (IF he's our nominee :D) needs to remember this: talk about jobs, good wages, good health care, solid Social Security, corporate accountability. THAT's how we'll win.

[IrateCitizen]

2. YES, YES, YES, YES, YES!

Did I mention that I was in agreement with you?

The Midwest and Southwest will be where the election will be won this year. OH alone represents a swing of 40 electoral votes! WV only went red in 2000 because of the gun issue -- I don't think it will really play this time around. Plus, people in WV are FUMING at Bush for relaxing the Clean Water Act and turning their natural beauty into a toilet of coal mine tailings.

Even if we didn't get MO or AR, just OH and WV would win us the Presidency. It's a pretty good strategy, IMHO.

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

3. One big state. Or two more more little states.

Big = OH, FLA
Little = AZ, LA, NV, NH etc.

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/evcalc.php?year=2004

2000 state breakdown yields an 18 vote deficit in 2004 due to change in demographics. Means a 10 vote change from R to D = +20 for the Dems and the election. So even a state like AZ alone would do it (6% difference last time), if everything else was the same.

[blm]

4. I couldn't agree more.

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