What are our most vulnerable "blue" states?

[ringmastery]

Iowa, New Mexico, Wisconin?

Does Bush really have a shot at Michigan and Pennyslvania with their new democratic governors?

[WI_DEM]

1. most vulnerable

Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and maybe Minnesota if Nader is on ballot.

[goodhue]

2. I would have said MN before Tuesday night.

The DFL turnout was awesome so now slightly less concerned about MN. But certainly IA, NM, WI, MN, MI and PA will be in play IMHO.

[Frances]

3. Your question makes it clear why Nader is so destructive

to our chances to get rid of Bush.

Just as in 2000, Nader will get the most votes in states that are up for grabs. Kerry will have to spend time, energy, and money in states that would be much more likely to vote for him if Nader were not in the race.

There will be no one on the right taking votes from Bush.

[GreenPartyVoter]

6. Libertarian and Constitutionalists most certainly will draw votes

from $hrub, as will other conservative party members and independents.

[0rganism]

4. watch out for Oregon!

Usually, the votes do go for the Democrats. But lately it's been very close. Also, the recent ballot measure to fund state services by raising income tax on the wealthy went down to a severe defeat. Expect Nader to be at least as much of a factor as he was in 2000, and the reactionaries will be out in force over the gay marriage issue.

Kerry needs to win Ohio this year, in the worst way.

[Protagoras]

5. I'm curious what forces would make those

states swing red? So far what we've seen is the economy is driving many red states to our side...like MO, OH, WV, etc.

What factors would be doing the reverse in 2000 dem states? I'd think the suckage would galvanize those 2000 dems even more in those states that were previously close to nail it down solid this time. I know in Oregon the greens are swingly wildly to the Dems because it was too close for comfort last time around.

[Dedalus]

7. Other way around?

And what red states do we have a shot at? I'm thinking we can take back FL and NH this time pretty easily...