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Will Hillary give us the same Bob Shrum, blue state, coast to coast campaign in the Fall?

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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:43 PM
Original message
Will Hillary give us the same Bob Shrum, blue state, coast to coast campaign in the Fall?
That's what I am afraid will happen. That she will gradually write off the South and the Mountain West to run a campaign that only targets the Northeast, the West Coast and the Upper Midwest. This severely limits the party's prospects for victory by ceding a large section of the country to the opposition, leaving little room for error.

We need a candidate who will run a 40-50 state campaign. Someone who will not be scared away by some bullshit Rasmussen poll showing the Republicans ahead in a given state by double digits. Someone who will make the Republicans fight for every state, for every electoral vote. Someone who will campaign in the most blood red states. I don't see Hillary Clinton as someone who will be likely to do that.
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. McCain will likely make the upper-midwest competitive.
Focus on OH, WI, MN ect before you start throwing money around the South and West.

You seem to be coming at the campaign as though resources are unlimited.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:51 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Hillary will have shitloads more money than Amnesty John
She will opt out of the public financing, while McCain is still bound by the spending limits he agreed to when he took the primary matching funds (which Hillary opted out of).
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:28 PM
Response to Reply #4
19. Do you have a link?
I seem to remember there being a great deal of ambiguity as to whether or not McCain accepted public financing.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #19
22. Fair enough
http://www.prospect.org/csnc/blogs/tapped_archive?month=01&year=2008&base_name=mccains_long_dark_period

MCCAIN'S LONG DARK PERIOD.

Last summer, when he was out of money, John McCain agreed to accept public financing for his primary campaign -- matching funds that require accepting a limit on total spending in the primaries and on spending in each state. He, John Edwards, and several long-gone candidates were officially granted public funds, in December, but have not yet received the cash, though McCain has borrowed in anticipation of receiving $5.8 million in March.

Now that he is the front-runner, McCain is surely tempted to escape that commitment, and raise private funds rather than accept the constraints of the public system, but The Politico reported Tuesday that "it could be tougher getting out than it was getting in." (Hmmm, a little like Iraq, perhaps?):

more

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Demeter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. With Any Luck, We'll Never Know
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:48 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. There ya go Demeter!
Why don't we cross that Ugly bridge IF we have to go there.
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REDFISHBLUEFISH Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:51 PM
Response to Original message
5. Hillary can win the South. Especially Florida. Obama will not.
Obama will not win Florida.

McCain is sort of popular there..Clinton is BIG.

Clinton won it by a large margin even though Obama "mistakenly ran ads there"

Florida after being told in essence that there votes do not count by Democrats would VOTE Hillary through TO GET THEMSELVES COUNTED ....but decline to support Obama if he won the nomination because they and Michigan were slighted.

Like it or not...Hillary is a more viable candidate.
Everyone forgets Obama is left...Clinton is more centered in many postions.

Obama is like Kerry or Edwards or Kennedy...They do not win nationally.

The only people who have recently are in fact the Clintons.
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #5
17. florida's fucked up voting equipment= McCain
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Hieronymus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:53 PM
Response to Original message
6. The Democrats need to dump Shrum .. he's lost too many elections.
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Jillian Donating Member (577 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
7. Hopefully Obama will not follow Kerry's advice either.
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thunder rising Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:55 PM
Response to Original message
8. As soon as she fires Howard Dean ... it's the end of this era of the Democratic Party
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
9. Both will. Neither can compete in the South and many other parts of the country
The media got rid of the only candidate who could run a truly national campaign in the general election.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. But you have to try
You can't be scared away by some MSM poll that shows you behind in say, Tennessee, by 15 points. If you ignore the state, then that deficit will turn into a 25 point deficit by Election Day.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:08 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. I doubt they will try
Edwards was the only candidate who could have run a truly national campaign like Bill Clinton did in 1992 and 1996.
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OKNancy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:04 PM
Response to Original message
11. She might. she doesn't need the south
so why waste money?
She only needs the Gore states plus one medium or two small states.
I think she would have a chance in border states though.
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paulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:11 PM
Response to Original message
13. I thought I'd already seen all the weakest "don't vote for Hillary"
arguments - but I guess I was wrong.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:12 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Please tell me why the argument is weak?
Do tell.
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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
15. Yes
that is a concern when dealing with a political neophyte like Clinton.

If only she had people in her inner circle who knew something about electoral politics.
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jillan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:29 PM
Response to Reply #15
20. lol!
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
16. yup, the same fucked up Carville strategy. Screw bringing over enough indies/moderates to form
an actual MAJORITY.

See, Reagan got Dems to cross over but Democrats (in Clinton's world) can't.

This is because the Clinton/DLC is about protecting their own little empire. They're all too happy to let the GOP fascists have all the rest.
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Nedsdag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:17 PM
Response to Original message
18. Of course she's giving up the south and the mountain states.
She's playing the 50+1 percent strategy.

It's a strategy that will be fatal to her campaign.

Plus, there's no guaratee she'll win the purple states (Michigan, Pennsylvania, the Upper Midwest states of Wisconsin and Minnesota).

Ohio? BWAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!
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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Feb-02-08 08:31 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. I'm curious
What information are you basing your evaluation of her GE strategy on?
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