CNN DEBATE: Real time audience response, Clinton 60%, Obama 40%

[elixir]

HRC rocked. She established the tone of the debate and raised a would-be mud sling into a thoughtful discussion of substantive issues. I was thrilled how she and BO presented a unified front against the GOP, way to go.

[Occam Bandage]

1. n=10?

[Nailzberg]

2. That wasn't the audience exit poll. That was the real time response focus group.

Very small sample. Very big MOE.

I hate RTRs. Just another toy that the news shows like to use, but terribly inaccurate.

[DUyellow]

3. Please fix your title

[Joe the Revelator]

5. Not to mention they were in Dallas Texas (not a super tuesday state) and picked by Southern...

Methodist University.

[earthside]

4. Entrance Poll?

An audience exit poll is meaningless unless you have an audience entrance poll to compare it with.

In other words, if 60% going in were for Clinton, then, what's the big deal?

[Occam Bandage]

7. It wasn't an exit poll, it was their (what appeared to be 10-person) focus group.

[Nailzberg]

9. I didn't see their "group" but if it was 10 people, that is a MOE of +/- 31%

I won't even think of translating it into the CA primary. But using the turnout for the 2004 TX Dem primary as the population, and 10 as the sample size, 31% it is.

[ecstatic]

6. I saw bits and pieces. I think HRC may have received a slight edge

based on the comments Obama made on the first question (explain policy differences). Clinton was super gracious in her answer; Obama was too, but he dug in and really articulated the differences (as a result, some women may have been thought he was too harsh).

[Maribelle]

8. I felt watching it, Hillary had the audience. 60/40 sounds about right.

While Obama did get almost as much applause as Hillary, Hillary's was generally a little stronger than his was much of the time. And of course she had the best line with her Clinton had to clean up after Bush zinger. They loved it.