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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:49 AM
Original message
Why did John Edwards after 4 years off and on in Iowa....
lose Iowa? Just food for thought. I personally was with him right up until Iowa was over. I could tell you why I believe he lost Iowa but would rather hear Edwards people explain why they felt he lost Iowa and all the momentum that might have helped him win NH. Iowa loss is my question and why?
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northzax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:52 AM
Response to Original message
1. people liked Obama and Hillary better?
seems a logical solution. after four years of campaigning there (it's not that big) he couldn't convince people to vote for him.
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:54 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Hillary did not win there. I do believe it is very important if
people think about it.
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northzax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:10 AM
Response to Reply #2
16. no, but in a head to head
between Obama and Edwards, Edwards would have taken more Clinton votes and won. Same with a head to head between Clinton and Obama.
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:22 AM
Response to Reply #16
19. Link? That is just nonsense. n/t
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northzax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:08 AM
Response to Reply #19
22. nonsense?
Edwards supporters in the primaries so far, indeed his power base, were older, whiter and more blue collar than Obama supporters tend to be. Look at the New Hampshire results, Hillary and Edwards had almost inverted poll lines, she went up, he went down (the same thing happens nationally) same thing would have happened in South Carolina. Edwards and Clinton are sharing the same base of voters (not on DU, obviously, but in the real world they are) Obama's base is wealthier, more educated, younger and more urban than Edwards'.

sorry, I can't give you one link to demonstrate this. I strongly suggest you review the voting patterns of the primaries to date, look at where Edwards' and Clinton's support came from and note the overlap.
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northzax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:08 AM
Response to Reply #19
23. nonsense?
Edwards supporters in the primaries so far, indeed his power base, were older, whiter and more blue collar than Obama supporters tend to be. Look at the New Hampshire results, Hillary and Edwards had almost inverted poll lines, she went up, he went down (the same thing happens nationally) same thing would have happened in South Carolina. Edwards and Clinton are sharing the same base of voters (not on DU, obviously, but in the real world they are) Obama's base is wealthier, more educated, younger and more urban than Edwards'.

sorry, I can't give you one link to demonstrate this. I strongly suggest you review the voting patterns of the primaries to date, look at where Edwards' and Clinton's support came from and note the overlap.
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Ninga Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:54 AM
Response to Original message
3. History. Historic. First time in history. First woman in history. First black in history.
Voters DO NOT VOTE MESSAGE.....otherwise Kerry and Gore would have won in landslides.

The voters were blinded by the glare of the historic excitement generated.

The voters were excited to give money to history instead of message.
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northzax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:12 AM
Response to Reply #3
17. technically, of course
Jesse Jackson was the first black man to win primaries (SC twice and Georgia in 88, I believe)
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Virginia Dare Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:13 AM
Response to Reply #3
18. I think that is exactly right...
there was a lot of drama surrounding the whole Hillary/Obama thing, and there still is. I think the media sucked that up, ergo so did the people.
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:54 AM
Response to Original message
4. MSM is in control of perceptions, results? Gephardt in 2004 had a similar fate
Edited on Wed Jan-30-08 09:55 AM by robbedvoter
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:55 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. Yep
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:00 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. Must agree that Edwards got snuffed out by the media. Now
it is Hillary who is trying to be silenced by them. Lets just let them pick our president, ok?????
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flyarm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:55 AM
Response to Original message
5. buses of young kids being bussed into Iowa. eom
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IA_Seth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 09:57 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. Surely you jest? nt
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:01 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. Thank you Oprah.
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Tuesday Afternoon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:02 AM
Response to Reply #5
12. for realz???
:popcorn:
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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:01 AM
Response to Original message
10. The MSM pushed two "sexier" candidates.
People are American Idol watching, Paris Hilton worshiping, sheep.
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Divernan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:02 AM
Response to Original message
11. AP article claimed that Hillary/Obama "stole the spotlight" from Edwards
from the beginning. I would correct that to say that MSM stole the spotlight (corporate media owners alarmed by Edwards' strong anti-corporate stands). As I recall Obama/Hillary also greatly outspent Edwards in Iowa and elsewhere. So when you don't get the news coverage and you're outspent at least 3 to 1, you don't get the votes. Very basic equation.
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:05 AM
Response to Reply #11
14. Hillary got the shi* beat out of her in Iowa. I don't think that's
an accurate description by AP.
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Yanez Houston Jordan Donating Member (317 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:05 AM
Response to Original message
13. Edwards spent only 2 more days in Iowa than Obama, and Obama spent 4 times as much in Iowa. You do
the math.
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:06 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. I didn't know those stats.
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Yanez Houston Jordan Donating Member (317 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:48 AM
Response to Reply #15
27. The MSM made sure you didn't know those stats.
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:24 AM
Response to Original message
20. His Message Delivery/Packaging Was Flawed. Too negative. Too old-fashioned.
Populism needs a more uplifting tone.

To convince people, you tell them in positive terms how things are and NOT in negative terms.
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 10:52 AM
Response to Reply #20
21. I disagree. He was spot on of there being two America's, the
rich and the poor. There is no way to deny that imho. Look at NOLA just for one (in your face example).
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:43 AM
Response to Reply #21
26. Talking about Two Americas just reinforces that notion. If you want ONE America,
you start from that premise. Postive tack versus the negative Edwards used.

This is simple human psychology and marketing.
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:50 AM
Response to Reply #26
28. I just want some reality. There are two Americas. The
Edited on Wed Jan-30-08 11:50 AM by Little Star
rich and powerful and the rest of us peasants. I chose reality, in making one America, by fighting for it, not just hoping for it.
Be honest, we are not one USA! We are a country of haves and have-nots!
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WinkyDink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:13 AM
Response to Reply #20
24. When did Americans become such panty-waists, unable to hear the unvarnished truth?
Edited on Wed Jan-30-08 11:13 AM by WinkyDink
PATHETIC.
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:41 AM
Response to Reply #24
25. it's basic marketing. who wants to hear "life sucks/vote for me"? There are better ways to package
Edited on Wed Jan-30-08 11:41 AM by cryingshame
a Populist message. Edwards couldn't figure it out.
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PresidentObama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 11:51 AM
Response to Original message
29. Two reasons. Money and exposure.
Retail politics works in Iowa, that's why Edwards got a strong second.

But he couldn't quite get to first. No matter how hard he or we tried.

From there, I knew the road would be bumpy and hard.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 12:11 PM
Response to Original message
30. It was in Obama's backyard and he bought the state (he outspent Edwards something like 6-1)
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redqueen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 12:12 PM
Response to Original message
31. Yay. More for ignore.
Edited on Wed Jan-30-08 12:12 PM by redqueen
:wtf:

:crazy:

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LTR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-30-08 12:21 PM
Response to Original message
32. Hype
Obama and Clinton have it. He didn't.

Plus, the media wanted an Obama/Clinton showdown. Edwards was a third wheel to them, and they wanted them out.

Another thing that hurt him was finances. Big mistake taking public funding and matching funds. He was outgunned.
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