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Obama behind in all Super Tuesday states?

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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:05 PM
Original message
Obama behind in all Super Tuesday states?
Except for Illinois?

Is this true? I just heard the talking heads report this on CNN.
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pstans Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:08 PM
Response to Original message
1. Here's a chart from Open Left: Obama leads in Illinois and Georgia
Edited on Sun Jan-27-08 01:10 PM by pstans
http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=3435

I think Alabama, Tennessee, Missouri, and Massachusettes could go to Obama with the endorsements he is getting. Plus, California is very important because it has so many delegates.

These states don't have polls...

Other states where Clinton probably leads: Arkansas, Delaware
Other states where Obama probably leads: Alaska, Idaho, Kansas
Unknown states: Colorado, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Dakota, Utah
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Dogmudgeon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. The source for your link --
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_%28United_States%29_presidential_primaries%2C_2008">Wikipedia (2008 Democratic opinion polling

It shows a much stronger base for Hillary than even I thought. I have been thinking it would go 45/35 in favor of HRC.

Of course, the bump from SC could be sustained. The next 72 hours will tell.

--p!
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:17 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Thanks for the link! n/t
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:09 PM
Response to Original message
2. he was behind in Iowa and SC also but eventually won
The polls prior to yesterdays sweeping victory are irrelevant. I think you'll see them tighten up now.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:13 PM
Response to Original message
3. Days to go. And people do love a bandwagon.
Saves having to think.
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:20 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Sadly its true
then after the election they wonder why they're getting screwed over.
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swoop Donating Member (169 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. It's not fair to imply...
...that people who choose to vote for Ombama are just hopping on a bandwagon and not thinking and carefully reasoning out their choice.
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krabigirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:40 PM
Response to Reply #3
14. Yep. Sad but true.
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swoop Donating Member (169 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 04:22 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. No, hon...
I'm 50 years old, I can't hop--and my bandwagons are long behind me.
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:20 PM
Response to Original message
7. unless the world ends tomorrow
she`s going to win the nomination regardless of super tuesday. the people are comfortable knowing that little will change with a clinton presidency.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:24 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. People in SC aren't. And the polls in SC were predicting Obama would win by 8 points.
He tripled that.

IMO, the polls don't have an accurate view of what's going on here.
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benddem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #7
12. barf
:puke: :puke: :puke: I want change!
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
8. Very few of those polls are recent or relevant. And did the polls in SC predict...
...what we saw yeserday? We're going to have to readjust how we look at polls right now.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:45 PM
Response to Reply #8
16. Zogby came closest.
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DUyellow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:31 PM
Response to Original message
11. Check the DATES of those polls
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Seabiscuit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:36 PM
Response to Original message
13. Regardless of the outcome on Super Tuesday, the MSM will declare the primary season over.
They've been attempting to do just that for a year now anyway.
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Blue_In_AK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 01:42 PM
Response to Original message
15. Apparently nobody's run any polls up here
or at least I haven't seen any. From the people I know, support is about evenly divided between Obama and Edwards. Nobody supports Hillary. She's always been very unpopular in Alaska.
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CalebHayes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 04:41 PM
Response to Original message
18. IL, CO, GA - you can bet AL will change along with
UT, NM, MO, KA, and AK. CA is even looking closer and closer.
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Big Blue Marble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
19. After last night and today all previous polls are moot.
Senator Kennedy's endorsement is big and will reverberate right to Hillary's organizational strength. She is still the front runner
as the smoke clears, but Obama's running on her heels.
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Radical Activist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 04:47 PM
Response to Original message
20. So much for the claim that the media is pushing for Obama.
It isn't true at all.
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thatsrightimirish Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 04:50 PM
Response to Original message
21. remember
In California it is not winner take all so Obama can still do well here. I think it all depends on the latino vote.
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tokenlib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-27-08 04:56 PM
Response to Original message
22. Hillary is still the presumptive nominee...
And let her and Bill keep believing it for a little bit longer.
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