A serious thread about Super Tuesday

[Seen the light]

The following vote on that glorious day:

Alabama
Alaska
American Samoa
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Democrats Abroad
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Kansas
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Missouri
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Dakota
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Utah

Most important states out of those? If you were advising Clinton/Edwards/Obama, where would you tell them to focus?

The way I see it, I actually think that California will be the most important state of all and then Missouri. If Obama can find a way to defeat Clinton in California, I think he'll be seen as the winner of Super Tuesday. If Clinton wins, she will.

[ccpup]

1. delegate-wise, CA is a biggie

but Barack would also need to do well in NJ, NY and MO, as they're the States that hold the most delegates and which, currently, Clinton is leading in outside the margin of error. Out of those three, New York and New Jersey have more delegates (281 and 127 respectively) than MO (88 delegates).

In fact, out of the 22 States voting, Barack only leads in three, I believe: Illinois (by double digits), Georgia (by seven points) and Idaho (within the margin of error) with a combined delegate count of 311, all awarded proportionally. For him to do well -- very well, in fact -- he'll need a bounce of epic proportions in these other 19 States in order to make the necessary number of delegates.

Which simply won't happen.

In fact, neither candidate will have the necessary number of delegates until, probably, the Primary in Mississippi on March 12th with the race being finally decided on April 22nd when Pennsylvania -- a State Hillary currently has a 20 point lead in -- votes and awards it's 188 delegates.

I congratulate Barack and his supporters on their win, but there's a great deal of work to be done.