Clinton and Obama in Close California race-Rasmussen poll

[Tropics_Dude83]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

Election 2008: California Democratic Presidential Primary
California: Clinton 38% Obama 33%
Thursday, January 17, 2008
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The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of California’s Democratic Presidential Primary shows Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama by five percentage points. It’s Clinton 38% Obama 33% and John Edwards at 12%. Dennis Kucinich picks up 3% of the vote and 13% are not sure.

Obama is viewed favorably by 80% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters, Clinton by 78%, and Edwards by 68%.

Eighty percent (80%) believe Obama would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Seventy-eight percent (78%) say the same about Clinton.

Sixty-four percent (64%) of Clinton’s supporters are “certain” they will vote for her and 65% of Obama voters say the same about their candidate. Just 50% of Edwards fans are that “certain” of their support.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of California’s Democratic Primary voters consider the economy to be a Very Important voting issue. Seventy-six percent (76%) say the same about Health Care. Government ethics and corruption is considered Very Important by 68% while the War in Iraq is that important to 62%.

Obama leads Clinton in South Carolina’s Primary, scheduled for January 26. Clinton leads Obama in Florida, a state that votes on =

[jackson_dem]

1. Are Republicans allowed to vote in the CA "Democratic" primary too?

[robbedvoter]

9. No. Only in the South (SC, Georgia that I know off)

[Joe the Revelator]

2. Uh-Oh, looks like Obama learned how to campaign

:rofl:

[Tropics_Dude83]

4. Implications

The implications of California being close (if it really is) are beyond staggering. There are 400+ delegates at stake. In fact, I don't see a nominee being the nominee without winning California first.

[HeraldSquare212]

3. CA awards delegates how, by congressional district, or winner take all? nt

[Tropics_Dude83]

8. Proportionally

It's definitely not winner take all. I'm not sure if it's proportioned by district though or by the statewide totals.

[Adelante]

5. Neat-o nt

[Tulkas]

6. the Reagan comments play well there too

that 5% should close quickly, and with a win in Nevada and S.C. things look good for Barack in Cal.

[Thrill]

7. Hillary is sinking

[elizm]

10. About time California got on board. I've been wondering what the heck was up there! :) nt

[Herman Munster]

11. outlier

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ca/california_democratic_primary-259.html

Politico/CNN/LAT 01/11 - 01/13 384 LV 47 31 10 Clinton +16.0
SurveyUSA 01/11 - 01/13 810 LV 50 35 10 Clinton +15.0
Field 12/10 - 12/17 457 LV 36 22 13 Clinton +14.0

[AJH032]

12. whatever, rasmussen

they had Obama winning NH by 10 or so, no?

[loveangelc]

13. this is good news.

california loves their charismatic politicians. i think obama has potential to do very well.

[Tropics_Dude83]

14. Correction

California only has 370 delegates, not 400+. Just wanted to correct that.

As far as New Hampshire, every poll had Obama up. Rasmussen was the only poll on the 8th that actually had the race tightening.

[suston96]

15. All Obama has to do is talk about how much he admires Reagan.....that will do it, fer sure....

...and uh, maybe draw a graphic of the Reagan trajectory.