This post by ChiefJoseph reflects something I've said before and something I wanted to emphasize in my 1000th post:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x406483We can debate "electability" all we want, but the truth is that nobody knows whether Kerry's "Massachusetts liberal" meme or Edwards' "not enough experience" meme is going to be a bigger liability for the General Election. That is months away and it's impossible to predict what might take hold for November.
I think they both can win, but the reason I support Edwards is because I like
how he would win.
Kerry has said that he doesn't need to win the South and the truth is his campaign would probably be smart to write off a large segment of the country. If Kerry wins, it will be by swinging Missouri, Ohio, New Hampshire, and/or Florida. The Senate candidates running in Oklahoma, Louisiana, North Carolina, Georgia, South Carolina, and others will be largely on their own to win their seats.
Bush knows exactly how to run against Kerry, and Kerry knows exactly how to run against Bush. It will be old-school attack politics - dredging through old records and painting their opponent as extremist and out of touch with ordinary Americans. They will focus on the swing states and pour money into them. Both sides will wake up in January bloodied and angry, and if Kerry wins we will likely face at least two more years of a Democratic President battling with a Republican Congress.
However, if Edwards wins in November, it will be by reaching deeper into the South and winning the swing states because he has forced Bush to protect his base. There wouldn't be a bloodied focused battle, but a broader campaign on more national issues taking place on multiple fronts. He would appear on the stump next to Erskine Bowles, Brad Carson, and Inez Tenenbaum and their fates will be very closely tied to his.
If Edwards wins, it will be with a mandate and maybe even a Democratic Senate.I don't think anybody has a really good idea of what an Edwards vs. Bush campaign would look like. It will surely have its share of attacks too, but there is far less substance to criticize about Edwards. Inexperience isn't exactly a meme that has a lot of depth to it and while they can repeat it many times, there isn't a lot of fodder to feed into it, while Kerry has a new incriminating vote that the Bush can campaign trot out every week until November. Of course Republicans would be angry if Edwards beat Bush, but it wouldn't be as nasty as a Kerry win. A Kerry win would only deepen the political, cultural, and geographic divide that has grown under Bush. Our leadership would be from the left, but we would still be divided in two Americas.
Kerry and Edwards can both win the White House, but Edwards can win a lot more. He can win this country back.