In the delegate-rich state of NY, Hillary leads Obama by 27% (new poll)

[antiimperialist]

Wow. I thought that after being endorsed by Oprah and having won Iowa, Obama would have convinced many New Yorkers that he's the best choice. Apparently not, according to a new SUSA poll conducted Jan. 9-10.

Hillary leads there 56%-29%, with Edwards in third with 8% of the preference.

Good news for Hillary.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=04be412c-3ea7-4a19-b6d9-f510401302bf

[NYCGirl]

1. Well, duh!

:eyes:

[antiimperialist]

7. I don't think t he huge margin is a "duh".

Hillary being on top is a "duh", but the large margin isn't. Can't Obama shrink the lead at least a bit in NY?

[skipos]

32. I think the huge margin is a "duh." And maybe New Yorkers know that a Hillary nomination

gets Bloomberg in the mix. If 9iu11iani gets the nom, and would be every New Yorker's dream come true.

[Fredda Weinberg]

2. We appreciate our junior senator n/t

[meegbear]

3. Out of fairness, she is the senator from that state ..

so she should do well there.

[Clintonista2]

35. Well, if she's such a right wing neocon, one would think that Liberal NY would know her best

and therefore want to get rid of her. Apparently those who know her best as a politician, love her.

[gmudem]

36. Not this liberal New Yorker

She certainly will not be getting my vote. When I vote for Democrats I like them to actually BE Democrats. But it's hardly surprising that she's leading her semi-home state.

[MadBadger]

37. NY and NYC doesnt have a great track record of electing liberals of late

See Rudy Ghouliani, Michael Bloomberg, and Pataki.

[PresidentObama]

4. She's the fucking Senator of the state, and very popular.

Stop pretending this is some sort of unexpected accomplishment for Hillary.

[antiimperialist]

10. What do you think about the huge lead that hasn't shrunk?

Wasn't it supposed to shrink now that Obama has won a state and has received an endorsement from Oprah?

It's not like New Yorkers are blindly voting for Hillary.

[LostinVA]

33. WE all know you're suddenly an HRC supporter for two reasons

1. To make HRC look bad, and

2 You can trash all the other candidates

I for one am a REAL HRC supporter, and your game is noticed and wore thin ages ago.

[durrrty libby]

34. This person is desperate for attention. Kinda sad they beg for it

on the internet. Last night they wanted to know how the candidates

would help college students, under the guise that they would soon be attending.

After several people dug it all up for them, they couldn't even bother to respond.:eyes:

[SaveElmer]

14. Makes Edwards third place position in North Carolina all the more striking...

Wouldn't you say?

[PresidentObama]

40. No, not at all. Many reports I've seen, Edwards is unpopular in North Carolina.

Hillary is very popular in New York.

[PassingFair]

5. No one could have foreseen....

:crazy:

[antiimperialist]

12. Another one who pretends to ignore the huge lead n/t

[rox63]

6. If she was behind in the state she serves as Senator

She'd be in big trouble. Duh!

[antiimperialist]

17. What about her huge lead?

Any comments about Obama's inability to at least cut her lead a bit, having been endorsed by Oprah and having won Iowa?

[dmallind]

21. Impressive - but what is Obama's in IL?

This is only a win for either if there is a big difference in....well the difference.

[alcibiades_mystery]

8. I don't think anyone doubts that Hillary will win NY big

I'd wager she wins CA, too, by double digits.

Similarly, Obama will win Illinois by a shitload.

[antiimperialist]

15. I doubt you were this pessimistic before you saw this poll

Obama supporters are pretending to have been aware of Obama's inability to cut Hillary's lead in NY before this poll.
You know you thought the lead had shrunk.

[alcibiades_mystery]

39. You think this is a game?

Congrats, genius. You win.

[cmaff05]

9. As everybody has said

She's a senator there. She's popular. It's been a given for a while now that she will take New York by a wide margin.

If Obama wins California, it doesn't matter however.

[Big Blue Marble]

11. Are you being sarcastic? n/t

[FrenchieCat]

13. Sounds right.

Has there been an Illinois polls done recently?....I can only find a mid December one.

Nothing since the 1st two primaries.

[Renew Deal]

16. 56% is worse than Hillary has ever done in NY.

So it would be quite an accomplishment for Obama to even be this close.

[antiimperialist]

20. Yeah, running against Rick Lazio

and other Republicans who are not supposed to give speeches that make pundits cry and that remind many of JFK.

[Renew Deal]

23. I agree. Hillary has never run a difficult race.

She's not doing as well under the pressure.

[antiimperialist]

25. So she wasn't doing well in NH, where the pressure made her tear up?

I guess being on the brink of losing a key state against media-darling JFK part 2 is not pressure to you.
I wonder where you have been.

[Renew Deal]

29. She has never run a difficult race before running for president.

NH was a difficult situation and she cracked. Do you disagree?

[Adelante]

18. Whoa, McCain's really closed in on Giuliani

Among all Republican Primary voters, it's Giuliani 32%, McCain 29%, within the survey's 4.6% margin of sampling error.

[antiimperialist]

26. Wait..I thought New Yorkers won automatically

hmm I guess only those candidates who NY'ers think could do a better job than their opponents.

[dmallind]

19. Well my one vote wouldn't have mattered anyway

but I could at least have made it infinitesimally closer for Edwards. However I just found out today - avtually less than an hour ago - that there's no chance my registration (filed with my DL application) will be processed in time for the primary. They quote a 60 day lead time and I moved here less than a month back.

I could probably get an absentee ballot in NE. I think I'll call them and see. By already filing the registation in another state they may kick me out and I'll be voteless. Pity, but I doubt it will matter in either state. I just don't like missing votes.

[RoadRage]

22. Thank GOD!

This means Obama should win NY State by at least 1 & 1/2%.....

I think it's much more in vogue to be behind in the polls now, right?

[HeraldSquare212]

24. NY awards delegates by congressional district

He doesn't have to win the state to get a lot of delegates, just the congressional districts in the cites. I think his campaign is forecasting getting 40% of the delegates.

[Dawgs]

27. Only 27%. That's not very good in the state where she is Senator.

Hillary won NH, which eliminated Obama's bump. Nice try at spinning this as some kind of victory.

[Joe the Revelator]

28. This is brand new information!!! I can't believe Hillary would be leading in her "home state"

:rofl:

[Adelante]

30. 42% of Clinton voters could change their minds

But among those who say their mind is made up, Clinton is up 33 points

Here is the link for Democrats:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=66576011-f27a-4a8a-a636-9f1a871f9371

[Freddie Stubbs]

31. Any candidate who can't win their own state's primary is not worthy of the nomination

[MadBadger]

38. Could be time to write off Edwards again then.

[Freddie Stubbs]

41. NC's primary is May 6