Why is anyone surprised that the NH polls were off?

[TwilightZone]

Undecideds were as high as 17%.

Margin of error was generally 5%-6%.

18% of voters decided on primary day.

40% of voters decided in the last three days.

How is ANY pollster going to account for all that?

[Bonobo]

1. Because they were only off on the Dem side and ALL the polls were wrong for them, not one.

[K Gardner]

3. Obama's and Edwards exit poll numbers were correct.

[bunnies]

2. Im not convinced they were.

I think they were accurate for when they were taken. Plus there were extenuating circumstances one day prior to the vote.

[Mojorabbit]

4. I think it is important to be aware

of potential problems in case this happens again where diebold is used. If it does not happen again I will be happy. I am glad people are keeping an eye on it nevertheless as it might be an issue in the general election.

[sandnsea]

5. Zogby said the shift happened Sunday night

His Sunday poll showed it much closer than the previous days. It didn't show up because the numbers were rolling.

[TwilightZone]

6. Yeah, I posted a thread on that earlier.

He said that his poll showed it as a two-point race, but the rolling average hid the momentum.

Kind of strange that he didn't mention that at the time. He could have covered both bases by issuing a "warning" that the polls appeared to be taking a major shift. He would have looked like a genius.

[sandnsea]

8. I know

Maybe he put some money on Intrade. Did you see $100 bet made on Tuesday paid out $10,000?? Crazy.

[goldcanyonaz]

7. Because Hillary won, and they can't deal with that. Oh, that's IMHO...

[Renew Deal]

9. This whole theft thing is ridiculously stupid

and unsupported.