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origin1286 Donating Member (292 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 07:05 PM
Original message
Interesting exit poll data and rumors
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/1/8/17624/53427/226/433010

New Hampshire Democrats went to the polls in seemingly record numbers Tuesday driven by an overwhelming desire for change. An exit poll conducted for WCVB-TV and TheBostonChannel.com found that 56 percent of voters in the Democratic primary made their decision based on the candidate they best felt could bring about "needed change." Eighteen percent voted for a candidate because he or she had the right experience and only 7 percent said the "best chance to win in November" was the major factor in their decision.

Over at National Review's The Corner (which in the past has gotten the Exit Polls right & sometimes very wrong), they have this little blurb.....
I'm hearing leaked exits that have McCain winning by six and Obama by 4. But I'm very skeptical—polls aren't closed, etc. Meaningless.

But there you are.


UPDATE:
"turnout numbers suggest these exits could be even more unreliable than their usual unreliability. they depend on accurate turnout modeling"
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 07:07 PM
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1. I Expect a Much Older Group of Voters than in Iowa
which should bode well for Clinton.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 07:07 PM
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2. Obviously, the Change v Expirence numbers bode well for Obama
nt
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