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There are 61 potentially vulnerable US representatives this election.

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IronLionZion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 04:44 PM
Original message
There are 61 potentially vulnerable US representatives this election.
61 US Representatives won in 2006 with less than 55% of the vote.

Not to distract you from the usual presidential primary bullshit. But we have some interesting races in the house to look forward to. How's about we defend and strengthen our majorities mkay? Our Dem president will need a friendly congress to give him/her progressive legislation to sign. For that we need to fight like hell for wins in the house, senate, governor, and local races. President is not the only election.

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2008/house/

A Look Ahead at Potentially Vulnerable House Seats in 2008

Democrats Below 55 Percent of the Two-Party Vote in 2006 (28)
Member State District Vote Percentage
Joe Courtney CT 02 50.02
John Barrow GA 12 50.30
Patrick Murphy PA 08 50.30
Jim Marshall GA 08 50.55
Tim Mahoney FL 16 50.97
Steve Kagen WI 08 51.07
John Hall NY 19 51.22
John Yarmuth KY 03 51.24
Carol Shea-Porter NH 01 51.32
Dave Loebsack IA 02 51.43
Nancy Boyda KS 02 51.77
Ron Klein FL 22 51.92
Jason Altmire PA 04 51.93
Harry Mitchell AZ 05 52.05
Baron Hill IN 09 52.37
Leonard Boswell IA 03 52.74
Tim Walz MN 01 52.81
Chris Carney PA 10 53.04
Kirsten Gillibrand NY 20 53.10
Jerry McNerney CA 11 53.27
Paul Hodes NH 02 53.61
Melissa Bean IL 08 53.63
Julia Carson IN 07 53.76
Heath Shuler NC 11 53.79
Joe Donnelly IN 02 53.98
Ciro Rodriguez TX 23 54.24
Peter Welch VT AL 54.44
Mike Arcuri NY 24 54.52

Republicans Below 55 Percent of the Two-Party Vote in 2006 (33)
Member State District Vote Percentage
Vern Buchanan FL 13 50.08
Robin Hayes NC 08 50.14
Heather Wilson NM 01 50.20
Deborah Pryce OH 15 50.24
Barbara Cubin WY AL 50.27
Jean Schmidt OH 02 50.53
Jim Gerlach PA 06 50.64
Mike Ferguson NJ 07 50.76
James Walsh NY 25 50.79
Jon Porter NV 03 50.99
Peter Roskam IL 06 51.35
Marilyn Musgrave CO 04 51.40
Thelma Drake VA 02 51.41
Dave Reichert WA 08 51.46
Randy Kuhl NY 29 51.46
John Doolittle CA 04 51.68
Christopher Shays CT 04 51.71
Tom Reynolds NY 26 51.98
Tim Walberg MI 07 52.06
Steve Chabot OH 01 52.25
Bill Sali ID 01 52.71
Joe Knollenberg MI 09 52.74
Dean Heller NV 02 52.84
Mark Kirk IL 10 53.38
Ric Keller FL 08 53.38
Mark Souder IN 03 54.28
Michele Bachmann MN 06 54.33
Rick Renzi AZ 01 54.36
Geoff Davis KY 04 54.37
Charlie Dent PA 15 54.49
Lee Terry NE 02 54.66
Adrian Smith NE 03 54.74
Brian Bilbray CA 50 54.99

I suppose you could now return to slinging insults at each other, but
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HeraldSquare212 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. Tom Reynolds has got to go
How he squeaked out a win last time when so many other NY Rep Congressman lost is beyond me. But I truly believe that the result in the House and Senate in the last election were driven by or Dem candidates were put over the top by, the Rep scandals in the House. Scandals are still out there, and somehow we've got to keep them front and center.
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 05:54 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Bribery, basically.
Buffalo had a really bad freak storm in October which did a lot of damage. Reynolds immediately got something like 6 million dollars Fedexed up from Washington in "relief." That more than anything else pulled him back from the edge.

This year he's running against a different person, an Iraq War vet named Jon Powers. Nice guy, I've met him--very personable, very competant. I think Reynolds is going to go down.
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thevoiceofreason Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 05:13 PM
Response to Original message
2. Have to add Nick Lampson to the list
Although the Texas 22nd Democrat won handily in 2006 (DeLay's seat), the district is pretty conservative and a one-candidate Republican side (with their name actually on the ballot) will be tough. Nick has done a good job for these folks, but they might not be able to see past the (D) at the end of his name.
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Araxen Donating Member (826 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. High Voter Turnout
If the high voter turnout keeps up till the GE I don't think we'll have anything to worry about.
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 05:55 PM
Response to Original message
5. A lot of those "vulnerable" Dems are actually pickups.
Courtney, Murphy, Mahoney, Hall, I think Kagen, definitely Gillibrand, Bean, probably some others I can't remember. Not as many of them are as "vulnerable" as the 55% rule would seem to suggest.
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