I am staying with my original prediction Obama wins with 38%

[Perky]

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3914559

Obama 38%
Edwards 33%
Clinton 29%


No I do not think anyone else makes the final tallies. Why? because under the rules: you have to get 15% in each of 120 precincts to get one percent recorded votes statewide.

with so many candidates in the second tier and the top three seeminging destined to get 90% in the first tallies. I just do not think it will be poccible for anyone to get to the theshold in more than a smattering of cpreincts and I do not think it will be even 1 percent statewide.


The caveat: If Richardson cut a deal with Obama, I think he might get a few percentage points

[LSparkle]

1. I agree with you

It may be closer between Obama and Edwards but I definitely think they'll be 1 and 2 tonight (with HRC in 3rd).

[FreeState]

2. Im starting to think Obama may take it

but I think its going to be much closer than anyone expects.

[fightindonkey]

3. Yawn. Like We Needed An Entire Post About Your Crystal Ball Again. We Have Threads Dear

Go to the thread of predictions already.

[Gman]

4. what you're saying is that of the 57 delegates at stake

Obama gets 22, Edwards gets 19, and Hillary gets 17. I'm not sure that's a "victory" for anyone.

[Perky]

5. Iowa has never been about delegates. It is completely about momentum and perception