Final CNN Iowa Poll: Clinton 33 Obama 31 Edwards 22

[Herman Munster]

http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/12/31/iowa.poll/index.html

Among Democrats, Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York wins the most support, with 33 percent of likely Democratic caucus-goers backing Clinton and 31 percent supporting Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois. But taking into account the survey's sampling error of 4.5 percentage points in the Democratic race, the race is virtually tied.

Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina is in third place in the poll at 22 percent.

Clinton and Obama both gained 3 points since the last CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll in mid December, with Edwards dropping 4 points. Watch CNN's Bill Schneider analyze the new poll »

"The survey suggests that for the Democrats, a three-way race may have effectively become a two-way race," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

[Joe the Revelator]

1. Bad News for Hillary. 2nd choice votes are going to eat her alive.

Nt

[aquart]

2. Unless she wins the first time around, of course.

[Joe the Revelator]

4. I don't think thats how this works

There is going to be 2 rounds no matter what. One is a viability round, and the other is the delegate round.

[sniffa]

8. tis true

i learned how it works thanks to Debi. i love her posts.

[IndianaJones]

3. bad news for Obama. nt.

[Joe the Revelator]

5. Awesome analysis dude!

Keep pounding your fists on reality.

[IndianaJones]

6. reality will bite him on Thursday. nt.

[La Lioness Priyanka]

9. i hope it does. he is my least favorite candidate.

[IndianaJones]

10. these people are a riot. nt.

[Honeycombe8]

7. DesMoines Register (which was correct in '04) has Obama in the lead.

CNN's poll in '04 was incorrect. Des Moines Register's poll was correct in '04, I read, getting the order of the election results correct, in their "likely caucus goer" numbers.