Can Ron Paul win Iowa?

[antiimperialist]

I was looking at the latest ARG poll numbers, and in just 4 days, Ron Paul's numbers more than doubled: from 4% to 10%.


Dec. 16-19 vs. Dec. 20-23
Giuliani 13-14
Huckabee 28%-23
McCain 20%-17
Paul 4-10
Romney 17-21
Undecided 11-8

Remember Kerry was at Paul-like lows at the period in time in 04.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

[Fried Bread]

1. 40-17?

[bullwinkle428]

2. His campaign effort here in Iowa is pretty half-assed, so I can't

imagine he's expecting a whole lot in terms of results here - I'm guessing he's employing the big guns in New Hampshire.

[ozone_man]

3. You made a transcription error.

Should be:

Republicans Dec 16-19 Dec 20-23
Giuliani 13% 14%
Huckabee 28% 23%
Hunter - 2%
Keyes 1% 2%
McCain 20% 17%
Paul 4% 10%
Romney 17% 21%
Tancredo 1% ni
Thompson 5% 3%
Undecided 11% 8%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

He's on the move certainly.

[antiimperialist]

5. thanks n/t

[durrrty libby]

4. Didn't they go for Pat Robertson? Enough said

[Didereaux]

6. No, and who the hell cares? 50,000 techno head-jobs! and they add upto money not votes

[saltpoint]

7. I don't think he'll win, but he may place ahead of Rudy Giuliani.

I think that would be a pretty good outcome from our perspective.

We need to eliminate GOP contenders who might be competitive. Rudy's kind of in a downspin, and it would be a sweet thing if Ron Paul could finish him off in the Hawkeye State.

[Occam Bandage]

8. Survey says?

Not a chance. His personal numbers are atrocious; while he might go a bit higher, he has the lowest ceiling of any candidate.

[The Magistrate]

9. Still, Sir, He Will Break Ten Percent In New Hampshire

And that will be the 'story' coming out of the first wave of the primaries on the Republican side.