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From the Iowa Independent: Over the past week, the Democratic race has become even more difficult to predict. Sen. Hillary Clinton and several of her surrogates campaigned everywhere in the state this week, and Sen. Barack Obama and former Sen. John Edwards both spent significant time here, as well. Clinton has attacked Obama, and Obama has responded. Edwards, who was probably the most critical of his fellow candidates over the summer and fall, is now finding himself largely above the fray. If nothing else, we are confident that Iowa's Democratic caucuses will come down to the wire.
Below, we seek to answer (for the fifth time) the question, "If the Democratic caucuses were held tonight, how would they turn out?" We based these rankings on impressions we received from activists, staff, and caucus-goers across the state and, at the most basic level, gut feelings and instincts. We hope only that our work provides one additional point of reference to readers who are interested in the perspective of Iowans who have watched the race unfold here for the past year.
First Place
(tie) John Edwards ...
(tie) Barack Obama ...
Third Place
Hillary Clinton ...
Fourth Place
Joe Biden ...
Fifth Place
Bill Richardson ...
Sixth Place
Chris Dodd ...
Seventh Place
Dennis Kucinich ...
Eighth Place
Mike Gravel
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