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Obama's lead cut in Half in Iowa: Obama 30% (-3), Clinton 27% (+2), Edwards 27% (+3)

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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 10:52 PM
Original message
Obama's lead cut in Half in Iowa: Obama 30% (-3), Clinton 27% (+2), Edwards 27% (+3)
Ive been waiting for this poll because in previous weeks its had Obama with 7 and 8 point leads, but now according to this Strategic Vision Poll, his lead is now only 3 points, proving once again that his momentun has ceased and the caucus really is a toss up between three.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/iowa_poll_122107.htm

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Double T Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
1. Edwards moving up; maybe America is waking up!
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Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:08 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. I hope so! No doubt the Clinton campaign is thinking up something to do....
And if, as President Clinton said, GHW Bush will be helping Sen. Clinton, then they will get back at Edwards in a particularly ugly manner. Bush Sr. is a scumbucket.
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Evergreen Emerald Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:20 PM
Response to Reply #7
12. Wow--poll assessment and a gratuitous Clinton attack.
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Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #12
17. Sorry, but I saw the cover of The National Enquirer and feel justified. nt
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Evergreen Emerald Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-21-07 11:02 AM
Response to Reply #17
20. yeah...Clinton is all powerful / all knowing
ITs Clintons fault. DAng, I thought that was a right-wing mantra.
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Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-21-07 07:19 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. It's not a crime to not back Sen. Clinton...
...it's also not a crime to point out that a Democrat whose company is publishing National Enquirer "dirt" on another happens to be one of the largest donors Sen. Clinton has.

It's also not a crime to point out that Sen. Clinton's Democrat donor who owns that company is publishing really nasty-ass things about Edwards. He's not publishing that he got into a little car accident. He's publishing love-child whose-yo-daddy business.

I'm just pointing out those things. It's not a crime for me to point all that out.
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
2. All these polls are all over the place...
One has Obama and another Clinton. Right now, I don't think anyone has a real lead there.
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:02 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Turnout will be key.
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CyberPieHole Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:02 PM
Response to Original message
4. Hopefully people are wising up to the Obama flim~flam...
regardless, it is a tight race.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:04 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Hopefully they realize he's the best candidate out of the top three
Either way its a toss up.
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CyberPieHole Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:14 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. A toss up? Yes. Obama the best candidate? No. He's the least viable.
Edwards and Clinton stand better chances in the GE. May the best woman win.
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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:15 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. the polls mean nothing to you apparently.
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #9
16. Right, you're not biased at all. NT
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:05 PM
Response to Original message
6. In this one the war is less unpopular with Rs
I think this is the first Stragtegic Visions Iowa where the pug "out of Iraq withn a year" is below 50% (49%)
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:09 PM
Response to Original message
8. Who puts out the strategicvision poll?
Romney?
Or Guiliani?

Don't believe everything you read - people from Iowa don't!

Both of my cousins cancelled their subscription to the Des Moines Register for endorsing Hillary the warmonger.
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dicknbush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:19 PM
Response to Original message
11. Interesting considering the "Ophra" boost alleged boost that is.
I heard a story that after Oprha did her thing at the rally about one third of those in attendence left before Obama gave his speech. I am neither here nor there when it comes to Obama. I really do not think he is up to the juggernaut of the Republican slime machine as a Presidential candidate. Edwards is the man for the job in my opinion. An Edwards /Obama Ticket would send the Republicans into a major depression as far as I am concerned.It is a winning ticket that would inject a new sense of energy and civility into American Politics that is very desperatly needed not to mention that a President Edwards and a vice President Obama would be a signal to the world that a new and vital administration is now willing to work with the world on issues that concern us all, most of all our children and grand children. A black man as Vice President of the United states would would be a sign to the world that America in spite of its set backs regarding racism can and does give opportunity to all. Is there still work to do in America regarding Racism....as my daughter would say "Duh" but a black man in such a high position says more about what America can do in the future then what it may have done in the past. We have overcome! And for those stragellers who try to drag us back into the 19th Century horror of Jim Crow (Strom THurmond types or more recently Trent Lott and Smith of Oregon Yikes) They are loosers and sorry spectacles of an era that will never come back as long as we are vigilant and expose the hatred to light and love.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:22 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. The timing on Oprah was bad
It signaled celebrity and insubstansiality right when people were beginning to take the race seriously. Probably read as shallow.
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:20 PM
Response to Original message
13. What poll had Obama up 8 points i never seen any poll like that the...
posted polls above have been about the same for about a week now in fact some polling has Clinton up slightly.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:23 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Check out RCP, youd see that Strategic Vision has had Obama up 8 and 7 in consecutive weeks
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:28 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. thats the only poll i have seen with him that much of a lead in any event it all....
is going to come down to ground organization and he has a good one in Iowa.
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Frances Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Dec-20-07 11:29 PM
Response to Original message
19. I think that Hillary, Obama, or Edwards could win Iowa
Polling is especially tricky in Iowa because of how the caucus system works.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-21-07 11:06 AM
Response to Original message
21. Two Small Points
Edited on Fri Dec-21-07 11:07 AM by DemocratSinceBirth
The majority of polls are in the margin of error...That doesn't mean the person who is winning in the poll isn't...It just means the lead is a tenuous one...

Strategic Vision is a Republican polling firm... If you go to their site you will see most of their political clients are Republican... That's why there is a (R) after their name at Real Clear Politics... I don't know what it means...

This race is a pick em... I suspect the results could be just as muddled...
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